You know the drill, looking for feedback on my keeper situation. Keeping six, standard flea-eligible league scoring/settings. Choices are:
Roethlisberger
Shonn Greene
Cedric Benson
Willis McGahee
Tony Gonzalez
Denarius Moore
Brandon Marshall
Dwayne Bowe
Jeremy Maclin
Michael Crabtree
Owen Daniels
Pretty messy group, lot of interchangeable risk/reward ratios. Bowe looks like a lock, and Marshall is close to it, although he is certainly a strong contender for 'The Biggest Ticking Time Bomb' in the League'. Crabtree finished strong, but I'm skeptical the additions of Manningham and Moss will help at all in an offense that throws so little, Maclin will continue to be the #1A receiver in Philly, Denarius flashed big potential, Greene (very) quietly racked up 1200 total yards and the Jets could be going back to a run-heavy philosophy, McGahee is 'the guy' for now in Denver, Roethlisberger topped 4K yards (even though he only threw for 3 or more TDs in a game twice all season), and the ageless Gonzo somehow finished as the No. 4 fantasy TE in his age 36 campaign. So, what do I do?
Okay, so yesterday I removed Jeremy Maclin from my keeper group and added Denarius Moore. That is a short-sighted move, but I realized yesterday that.. I'm just not that high on Maclin's potential. Sure, he could return to 2010 form, where he scored 10 TDs as the Eagles '#1A' receiver. But DeSean could also put up an insane year to force the Eagles to give him the big deal he wants. Plus, I still haven't forgotten about Maclin's bizarre blood disorder that slowed him out of the gate last year, very strange. My original presumption was that Maclin offered enough stability to offset Moore's upside, which pretty likely surpasses Maclin's; I am not seeing much in the way of certainty from Maclin, presently. So, Roethlisberger/S. Greene/D. Bowe/Marshall/Santonio Holmes/D. Moore, leaving Willis McGahee, Jeremy Maclin, and Michael Crabtree to get redrafted. Somebody tell me I'm an idiot, and why.
You will be better off keeping Maclin. he will be a more consistent receiver for you. Moore will have some big games, but he will also have games where he is nonexistent.
I agree, Maclin may have the inside track on consistency. But I am already locked into keeping Marshall and Bowe, and I'm strangely drawn to Holmes, think he's gonna get targeted a ton. So we're talking about a guy who currently projects as my WR4. Doesn't it make more sense to roll the dice on a guy who, if things go somewhat according to plan, will be depth? Moore's numbers suggest he was the #1 deep threat in the league last year.
Why? Just about everything that could have gone wrong on Holmes last year short of injury did, his QB rated as the most ineffective 16-game starter in the league, and he still scored eight times. Guy is a jerk-off and his offense is iffy, but he can play, and since they're stuck with him because of his contract, they'll try to keep him happy.
Heh, Eric Decker still got in the endzone with fair regularity once Tebow took over, and Demaryius Thomas was the #1 receiver in fantasy to close out the season with Tebow throwing him the ball. I won't pretend that the looming possibility of Tebow doesn't give me some pause over potentially owning Santonio, but I believe his talent is enough to keep him fantasy relevant. Besides, if Tebow supplants Sanchez, there's a good chance Santonio will have been both vocal and instrumental in the change, which could result in him (gasp) actually playing hard for his new QB. I know, that's a lot of tea leaf reading, but I think ya gotta give a guy who could have elite talent the benefit of the doubt.
BaseNoteFri 3/23/12 7:55 PM
You know the drill, looking for feedback on my keeper situation. Keeping six, standard flea-eligible league scoring/settings. Choices are:
Roethlisberger
Shonn Greene
Cedric Benson
Willis McGahee
Tony Gonzalez
Denarius Moore
Brandon Marshall
Dwayne Bowe
Jeremy Maclin
Michael Crabtree
Owen Daniels
Pretty messy group, lot of interchangeable risk/reward ratios. Bowe looks like a lock, and Marshall is close to it, although he is certainly a strong contender for 'The Biggest Ticking Time Bomb' in the League'. Crabtree finished strong, but I'm skeptical the additions of Manningham and Moss will help at all in an offense that throws so little, Maclin will continue to be the #1A receiver in Philly, Denarius flashed big potential, Greene (very) quietly racked up 1200 total yards and the Jets could be going back to a run-heavy philosophy, McGahee is 'the guy' for now in Denver, Roethlisberger topped 4K yards (even though he only threw for 3 or more TDs in a game twice all season), and the ageless Gonzo somehow finished as the No. 4 fantasy TE in his age 36 campaign. So, what do I do?
BaseNoteTue 4/24/12 9:03 AM
Okay, so yesterday I removed Jeremy Maclin from my keeper group and added Denarius Moore. That is a short-sighted move, but I realized yesterday that.. I'm just not that high on Maclin's potential. Sure, he could return to 2010 form, where he scored 10 TDs as the Eagles '#1A' receiver. But DeSean could also put up an insane year to force the Eagles to give him the big deal he wants. Plus, I still haven't forgotten about Maclin's bizarre blood disorder that slowed him out of the gate last year, very strange. My original presumption was that Maclin offered enough stability to offset Moore's upside, which pretty likely surpasses Maclin's; I am not seeing much in the way of certainty from Maclin, presently. So, Roethlisberger/S. Greene/D. Bowe/Marshall/Santonio Holmes/D. Moore, leaving Willis McGahee, Jeremy Maclin, and Michael Crabtree to get redrafted. Somebody tell me I'm an idiot, and why.
rangerdaveTue 4/24/12 10:12 AM
You will be better off keeping Maclin. he will be a more consistent receiver for you. Moore will have some big games, but he will also have games where he is nonexistent.
BaseNoteWed 4/25/12 2:10 PM
I agree, Maclin may have the inside track on consistency. But I am already locked into keeping Marshall and Bowe, and I'm strangely drawn to Holmes, think he's gonna get targeted a ton. So we're talking about a guy who currently projects as my WR4. Doesn't it make more sense to roll the dice on a guy who, if things go somewhat according to plan, will be depth? Moore's numbers suggest he was the #1 deep threat in the league last year.
rangerdaveWed 4/25/12 2:22 PM
I would definitely keep Maclin or Moore over Holmes.
BaseNoteWed 4/25/12 2:33 PM
Why? Just about everything that could have gone wrong on Holmes last year short of injury did, his QB rated as the most ineffective 16-game starter in the league, and he still scored eight times. Guy is a jerk-off and his offense is iffy, but he can play, and since they're stuck with him because of his contract, they'll try to keep him happy.
rangerdaveWed 4/25/12 3:03 PM
And when Tebow is at QB?
BaseNoteWed 4/25/12 3:12 PM
Heh, Eric Decker still got in the endzone with fair regularity once Tebow took over, and Demaryius Thomas was the #1 receiver in fantasy to close out the season with Tebow throwing him the ball. I won't pretend that the looming possibility of Tebow doesn't give me some pause over potentially owning Santonio, but I believe his talent is enough to keep him fantasy relevant. Besides, if Tebow supplants Sanchez, there's a good chance Santonio will have been both vocal and instrumental in the change, which could result in him (gasp) actually playing hard for his new QB. I know, that's a lot of tea leaf reading, but I think ya gotta give a guy who could have elite talent the benefit of the doubt.