A Smart Attack fantasysharks.com Tue 6/25/13 6:30 AM

Below are two players in the top 25 that others seem to love more than I do, and two players outside the top 25 that I have a man crush on. (ADP = Average Draft Position) Overvalued Alfred Morris, ADP of 11: Now I have Morris in a keeper league and I am going to exchange my third-round pick for him without any problems. But his average draft position is between the 10th and 12th pick in current mock drafts; I have been seeing him selected as high as seventh overall. Now I think your first two picks need to be sure winners, not question marks. Without the read option as a Washington Redskins staple, how can we project for this kid to dominate? And why do we suddenly trust coach Mike Shanahan again? He is less stable at running back than any other coach. I am not going to say that he does not get the ball 300 times, but it seems like a Shonn Greene double-feature might be in the making. Chris Johnson, ADP of 23: Are you seriously going to take that chance? He has way too much downside for your second pick in any draft. People keep living the dream that he is suddenly going to get that step back and carry the load. He is not that guy. He had his success similar to Jamaal Charles when he slaughtered the league by storm before teams started to game plan for him. I would put Charles in the same boat, but I have a feeling that coach Andy Reid is going to find a way to get Charles going. Others I don't love at their current ADP: Trent Richardson (10), Demaryius Thomas (24), Stevan Ridley (21), Steven Jackson (13). Undervalued Ryan Mathews, ADP of 51: I know the stat sheets ... and I know you think he is fragile. However, there were some games last year where this kid was electric and started to take over the game. He has received tweets from fans hoping he would die. And I say if he dies he is coming back to life as a nightmare for defenses in an up tempo Mike McCoy offense that can use Mathews in the ‘flats' as a receiver and on the ground as slippery ‘I out flanked you' running back. Willis McGahee was dominant under McCoy's scheme, and in 2011 the Denver Broncos led the league in rushing. Watch out for this kid this year! Dwayne Bowe, ADP of 44: I have heard his talk this year that he is going to lead the league in touchdowns and receptions. I am not getting on that train, but he is a big and dominant receiver that can take over the game. Bowe is going to do well with an offensive minded coach and an upgrade at quarterback. Kansas City is ...

2013 Third Year Wide Receivers fantasysharks.com Fri 5/24/13 6:00 AM

With the draft behind us and OTA's kicking off this spring. Some of us are dusting off our fantasy tools and starting to read up on what's ahead for 2013. Like I've always said, it's never too early to start getting ready for your fantasy draft. As the summer approaches you will start to go on vacations, attend backyard cookouts and even take care of those house projects. Before you know it, the draft will be here and we will be monitoring preseason games for breakouts, position battles and injury updates. At this point in the NFL season, we tend to see more updates from the police blotter than we get from teams. In addition, there are still cuts to be made. Traditionally, when we get into June, we will see some of the veterans get let go. This can create some good sleeper opportunities so pay attention to those transactions. What I like to do when I start my preparation for the new fantasy season is to take a look at how positions are going to shake out for the new season. I start with the wide receiver position. I look at how the third-year wide receivers did in 2012 and then look at the receivers that will be entering their third season for 2013. For those that don't know, the theory of the third year wide receiver is one method in fantasy football that is used to select players that have the potential to have a breakout season. Unlike running backs, receivers typically take a little more time to learn the offense and develop. The magical third year is when it all clicks for these players and can be a fantasy gold mine. Over the last 10 season, some players that have excelled in year three are Braylon Edwards who had 1,289 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns in 2007, Javon Walker who had 1,382 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns in 2004 and Chad Johnson who had 1,442 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns in 2003. Last season, Dez Bryant led all third year wide receivers with 1,382 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, finishing 3rd overall among wide receivers with 297 fantasy points in PPR formats. Behind him at #5 and #9 were fellow third-year wide receivers Demaryius Thomas with 291 fantasy points and Eric Decker with 261 fantasy points. Victor Cruz who had a down year compared to 2011, when he had 1,536 receiving yards, still put up 10 touchdowns and finished 14th overall among wide receivers with 248 fantasy points. These are the players we hope to draft when we look at third year wide receivers. However, not all receivers make that leap in their third ...

Waiver Wire Wonders: Week 16 fantasysharks.com Tue 12/18/12 6:30 AM1 Comment

Even with the season winding down, we identify a couple of options out on waivers about whom we feel pretty solid. A few others are worth watching, and we troll the deepest of depths for those of you in deep leagues that need to find something to keep your playoff run going. We spread the wealth out among all the skill positions, something for everyone this week! Solid Pickups WR Brandon Gibson, St. Louis The return of Danny Amendola did not put much of a dent in Gibson's numbers, as he caught six passes which were good for 76 yards against the Minnesota Vikings. His numbers came at the expense of Chris Givens, who saw his production cut to the bone. Amendola is going to get his stats, with Gibson second in line on the Rams. Look for Gibson to continue to be a low-end fantasy option, especially against a weak Tampa Bay defense in Week 16. RB Jackie Battle, San Diego With Ryan Mathews lost for the season, Battle becomes the starting back for the Chargers. Curtis Brinkley got more action last week, but that was only because San Diego was playing from behind. The running game will be on display against the New York Jets in Week 16, so look for Battle to be a decent flex play in Week 16. On the Radar QB Kirk Cousins, Washington After calmly stepping in to complete a clutch comeback against the Baltimore Ravens two weeks ago, not much was expected of the rookie as the starter this week against the Cleveland Browns. He was surprisingly impressive, spreading the ball around on his way to 329 yards and two touchdown passes. With the listless Philadelphia Eagles on the schedule this week, the Redskins can afford to give Robert Griffin III's knee another week to get better. Keep an eye on injury reports; if Cousins is tapped again as the starter, look for him to have another very successful day against Philadelphia. WR Rod Streater, Oakland After back-to-back games of close to 100 yards, Streater kept things going with a five-catch, 62-yard effort against the Kansas City Chiefs. This is the third week that Streater has been the leading wide receiver for the Raiders, ahead of both Denarius Moore and Darrius Heyward-Bey. We like his chances to continue these numbers, even against a tough Carolina Panthers team this upcoming week. TE Tony Scheffler, Detroit A disappointing fantasy week for Scheffler; only three catches for 36 yards. We expected more, especially when it was announced that Brandon Pettigrew was not going to dress. Keep ...

Fantasy Intelligence Report: Hustle Wilson & Cole Beastley fantasysharks.com Mon 8/27/12 9:06 AM

Seattle Seahawks' rookie quarterback Russell Wilson did everything he was supposed to do in his first preseason start on Friday night against the Kansas City Chiefs. Wilson led three drives of which the end results were touchdowns (better results than Matt Flynn has had in two starts combined) and he showed true leadership and command of the offense. Furthermore, as The Seattle Times recently pointed out, Wilson looked just as good against the Chiefs defensive starters as he had the previous two weeks. It's something that doesn't surprise head coach Pete Carroll. "He didn't do anything he hadn't been doing," Carroll said. "He just continues to show poise and the composure of a guy well beyond three games old." "He's just very impressive," wide receiver Braylon Edwards said. "You never want to use the term surprising because I didn't know necessarily what to expect, but he's just very impressive to watch. He's a rookie, but he conducts the offense like a veteran." On Sunday night Wilson was named starting quarterback of the Seattle Seahawks, but as Carroll pointed out, he deserved it. "It was a legitimate competition as we said from the beginning," Carroll said of Wilson. "With the opportunity he's taken advantage of, he deserves to start. I just think he's proven to us that he's very, very capable. I think the big label that we put on this is being diminished some. Times have changed, and if we don't acknowledge that, we're just putting our head in the sand." Wilson can be a fantasy force, as he not only has a strong and accurate arm, but isn't afraid to take off running when a play breaks down, and is very smart about it. Plus, the Seahawks will continue to draw up plays, like the one depicted below, that will open up his vision, enabling him to make smart decisions with the football. On this particular play, the Seahawks are loading up the right side of the formation with wide receivers, while positioning tight end Kellen Winslow Jr. on the left side alone to block Tamba Hali. They also have the running back lined up next to Wilson, and will run him to the left flat hoping to keep safety Abram Elam from moving up in coverage. The four cornerbacks are in a dime-like, one deep man coverage on the receivers (which is a poor call to begin with). The two inside receivers (Charly Martin and Terrell Owens) will run similar routes to opposite sides of the field. Martin runs a post to the middle, while Owens runs a post to the corner. The outside...

NFL Roundup (7/31): Seahawks sign Braylon Edwards brunoboys.net Tue 7/31/12 6:53 PM

Wide receiver Braylon Edwards is set to sign a one-year deal with the Seahawks, a league source told KJR 950's Dave Softy Mahler.

Instant Analysis: Braylon Edwards signs with Seattle dynastyleaguefootball.com Tue 7/31/12 2:16 PM

Braylon Edwards has signed with Seattle. We analyze the ramifications.

Scratching the Seven Year Itch fantasysharks.com Sat 5/19/12 1:06 AM2 Comments

There is no arguing that if Doc Brown showed up at Candlestick Park right now offering the San Francisco 49ers a chance to go back in time to 2005, you better believe that Aaron Rodgers would be selected with the first pick. It would have been Alex Smith left sitting at the table watching as each team passed over him, symbolically slapping him in the face with each name call. It would be Smith who sat behind Brett Favre for three years watching the vet work his Lambeau Field magic. Imagine what a drastic swing of fortune could have transpired with just a changing of one general manager's mind. But what's done is done, and we have to look forward to the future. For Alex Smith, the future is now. Watching Alex Smith over the past years, a few things stick out immediately. For starters, he simply doesn't play like a No. 1 overall talent, period. For the majority of his playing time he's looked as though he lacks elite accuracy and even average arm strength. The second thing that stands out immediately is that Alex Smith has had more head coaches than Mitt Romney has wives. Smith has been bounced between passing-oriented, run-first, and defensive-minded coaches, all with differing philosophies and play calling tendencies. That's certainly not the ideal situation for grooming a young, maturing quarterback in today's NFL. Perhaps this is a situation where one hand washes the other, meaning that Smith's inabilities are the cause behind the coaching changes. Be that as it may, that is not the case in 2012. Coach Jim Harbaugh has cemented himself as the 49ers head coach for at least the next four seasons. For once in a long, long time, Alex Smith will enter camp with a successful, proven coach and consistent playbook. Could Smith's experience and knowledge of the offense lead to an uptick in production? Maybe the most noticeable factor seen during Smith's career is that he hasn't had much help on offense. Michael Crabtree has not turned into the Larry Fitzgerald, game-changing, elite wide receiver that the 49ers were looking for when they took him in the first round, 10th overall. Josh Morgan played well at times but is certainly not someone worth looking for as a primary target. Isaac Bruce was two years past what should have been retirement when San Francisco inked him. Braylon Edwards was a shell of himself in 2011, suffering through an injury ruined bounceback attempt with San Francisco. The days of spoiling quarterbacks with the likes of Jerry Rice and ...

Report: Jets interested in signed free agent WR Edwards brunoboys.net Wed 2/29/12 11:15 AM

The New York Jets are interested in bringing back wide receiver Braylon Edwards, according to the New York Daily News.

2012 Conference Championships: Turnovers and Tight Ends fantasysharks.com Sat 1/21/12 1:06 AM

Welcome to the Conference Championship edition of the Brew Crew Corner. Two games this week will decide who will go to the Super Bowl. Last weekend it was turnovers that sunk three teams while tight ends decided some other games. The Houston Texans threw three interceptions and a lost a fumble, the New Orleans Saints threw two interceptions and lost three fumbles, while the Green Bay Packers had one interception and lost three fumbles in their loss. Not taking care of the football gave the other teams additional opportunities, and it cost these three teams dearly. I've never seen a year where we've had so many stud tight ends playing in the playoffs, and last weekend we saw four tight ends dominate in games. For the New England Patriots, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez destroyed the Denver Broncos. Gronkowski had 145 yards and three touchdowns while Hernandez had four receptions for 55 yards and one touchdown, and he added five carries for 55 yards. In San Francisco, Vernon Davis had seven catches for 180 yards and two touchdowns as he out performed Jimmy Graham, who had five receptions for 103 yards and two touchdowns. Tight ends will definitely be a factor in the Conference Championship games. Look for Jake Ballard and even Dennis Pitta to have key grabs this weekend. Last week we analyzed the value of the running backs for 2011. This week we will look at the wide receivers for this season. Top 20 Wide Receiver Good Values Rank Player +/- 3 Victor Cruz, New York Giants +91 20 Laurent Robinson, Dallas +75 25 Jabar Gaffney, Washington +65 14 Nate Washington, Tenessee +64 28 Darrius Heyward-Bey, Oakland +60 38 David Nelson, Buffalo +58 39 Doug Baldwin, Seattle +58 42 Early Doucet, Arizona +56 31 Torrey Smith, Baltimore +51 52 Damian Williams, Tenessee +48 54 Jason Avant, Philadelphia +47 4 Jordy Nelson, Green Bay +42 61 Brandon LaFell, Carolina +41 62 Preston Parker, Preston Tampa Bay +41 63 Demaryius Thomas, Denver +41 45 Titus Young, Detroit +38 69 Lavelle Hawkins, Tenessee +38 41 Eric Decker, Denver +36 71 Legeud Naanee, Carolina +34 7 Steve Smith, Carolina +27 Top 20 Wide Receiver Poor Values Rank Player +/- 212 Terrell Owens, Free Agent -138 213 Randy Moss, Free Agent -134 147 Lee Evans, Baltimore -105 149 Danny Amendola, St. Louis -113 168 Jordan Shipley, Cincinnati -95 115 Chad Ochocinco, New England -90 162 Mark Clayton, St. Louis -...

49ers waive WR Edwards brunoboys.net Tue 12/27/11 10:50 AM

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Braylon Edwards was waived by the team Tuesday morning.