Let me tell you something about myself that you might not know: I live in central Indiana. That probably doesn't sound all that interesting, so let me qualify things further: I'm not married, I don't have any kids, I'm no longer in school, I'm not under a lease, and I'm totally financially self-sufficient. Absolutely nothing is stopping me from packing up my stuff and moving wherever I want, yet I'm here totally voluntarily. I don't know at all why that's the case, but I do know this: there is a surprisingly high number of people in this area who still complain that the Colts should have kept Peyton Manning . The level of entitlement and general insanity required to actually voice this opinion is staggering. On its face it doesn't seem all that crazy to feel this way. Using a hindsight bias, it's easy to see that if Indianapolis had Manning at his present MVP-caliber level and they had traded away the rights to Andrew Luck for a king's ransom of draft picks, they would have had a shot at building a late-career championship dynasty for number 18. But here's the deal: The business realities of the situation combined with the uncertainty surrounding Peyton's ability to ever play football again made it so that the Colts had no choice but to release him. It was their bad luck that he immediately regained All-Pro status, but the hindsight that has people calling Colts management stupid for bad luck is the same kind of logic that has people calling the Patriots geniuses for their good luck when they drafted Tom Brady . On a side note, can we please never again praise the Patriots for drafting Tom Brady ? In the 2000 draft, they took Adrian Klemm, J.R. Redmond, Greg Randall, Dave Stachelski, Jeff Marriott, and Antwan Harris before taking Brady. A team that viewed those six players as more valuable than Brady doesn't deserve any credit for their talent evaluation skills. They were looking for a second or third-string QB and they got unbelievably lucky. Praising the Patriots as master talent evaluators for drafting Brady is like praising a lottery winner as a master mathematician for guessing the right numbers. But getting back to the Colts, anyone with any knowledge of the situation knows that the team had no choice but to release Manning and hitch their wagon to Luck. Yet here in Indiana, even people who understand that still complain about what could have been had the Colts kept Manning. I can only conclude that my fellow Colts fans are spoiled and have no perspective. Andrew Luck is 2-for-2 in Pro Bowl selections and well on his way to a third. He's the best young quarterback in the game and he tends to have more game-winning drives in a season than most quarterbacks will have in three. The other three starting quarterbacks in his division are Ryan Fitzpatrick , Jake Locker , and Blake Bortles , and Colts fans have the gall to look at Andrew Luck and say, "Man, I wish I had a better quarterback." Real talk: Whenever a Colts fan expresses disappointment with Andrew Luck , I think a Bills or Browns fan should be legally allowed to kick them in the face. Let's get to the barometer. Quarterback Austin Davis (Week 5 at Philadelphia: 375 yards, 3 TDs, 30 yards rushing, 2 turnovers): There weren't a lot of outlier performances at quarterback last week. The studs largely played well, and the chumps largely stunk, so Austin Davis is the only really interesting performance to speak of. A second consecutive 3-TD performance has earned him an emphatic endorsement from head coach Jeff Fisher as the Rams' quarterback the rest of the season. It's true that Dallas and Philadelphia, the two teams he lit up, have bad pass defenses, but 3 scores a week is a great clip against any level of professional defense. He's hard to endorse as an immediate starter with dates against San Francisco and Seattle in the next two weeks, but those games will tell us how legit he truly is. Either way, I've got him penciled in as a top-20 QB the rest of the way, and that means he shouldn't be on waivers in 10 or 12-team leagues. Add Running Backs Branden Oliver (Week 5 vs. Jets: 182 yards, 2 TDs): No Week 6 fantasy article is complete without some sort of discussion of Oliver's insane outing. A guy that is owned in less than 1% of leagues going off for 30 points will tend to draw just a teensy bit of attention. Is he legit, or was this performance a total flash in the pan? Honestly, I don't know, but I do know this: Ryan Mathews is hurt, Donald Brown is concussed and ineffective, Danny Woodhead is out for the year, and two of the Chargers' next three games are against teams that have so far allowed the 4th and 5th most fantasy points to opposing RBs. Oliver looks pretty good to me, but the point of this column is to offer straightforward advice, so let's keep it simple: if you have high waiver priority and you're wondering if Oliver is worth a claim, the answer is an emphatic yes. Coming off a monster performance and competing with a pair of chronically underperforming backs with injury issues, Oliver is the highest-potential waiver wire add in weeks, and he's a total must-start if Donald Brown's concussion holds him out this week against Oakland. Add Pierre Thomas (Week 5 vs. Tampa Bay: 102 yards, 2 TDs): Just when we were all ready to throw in the towel on Thomas, he goes and puts up 22 standard league points on 12 touches. After a Dallas game in which he failed to carve out a rushing presence and ceded all kinds of passing downs to Travaris Cadet , he was one bad game away from getting dumped en masse by frustrated fantasy owners. Now, everything has changed. The future couldn't be any murkier. After the Saints' bye this week, Mark Ingram is expected to return, and between him, Thomas, Cadet, and Khiry Robinson , it's hard to determine who, if anyone, will be a viable weekly play. My gut is telling me that the explosion of receiving production enjoyed by Thomas last week had more to do with Jimmy Graham's exit than anything else. If Graham and Ingram are both active in Week 7, there's a chance that Thomas falls into total irrelevance. That being said, with two big performances in the last three weeks, I'm holding onto Thomas in the short-term to see how things play out. Hold Antone Smith (Week 5 at Giants: 85 yards, 1 TD): Does anyone remember Jerious Norwood ? As Atlanta's change of pace back, he led all qualified RBs in yards per carry in 2006 and 2007, and he was third in 2008. Despite clear evidence that good things happen whenever he got the ball, the most carries he ever got in a season was 103. I know he didn't have the size to hold up to 300 carries, but it always baffled me that Michael Turner got nearly four times the carries in 2008. Well, head coach Mike Smith doesn't seem to have learned anything, based on his usage of Antone Smith thus far. In the first four games, Antone Smith turned 13 offensive touches into 192 yards and 3 TDs. I know it's a small sample size, but that is flat out ridiculous. So, of course, head coach Smith, in his infinite wisdom, allowed Antone to get the ball into his hands only four stinkin' times against the Giants. So will his latest touchdown scoring, 21.5 yards per touch performance slap some sense into his coach? Probably not, but I'm willing to make a low free agency bid just for the off chance that it actually does happen. Ten touches a week is all he needs to be a legitimately viable boom or bust RB2. Add Wide Receivers Terrance Williams (Week 5 vs. Houston: 2 receptions, 71 yards, 1 TD): On some level it seems absurd that Williams is being publicly doubted by nearly all fantasy experts, considering that he's producing top-12 fantasy receiver stats and doing so in a very consistent fashion, but the doubt is actually very much warranted. With the Cowboys implementing a smart, balanced offense, they simply aren't the high-volume passing attack that I projected them to be, meaning enough passes to sustain two stud receivers won't be thrown. Williams' fantasy production is too dependent on big plays and touchdowns. He's a top-12 guy right now, but he's done it by scoring 5 TDs in 5 games. That pace ain't going to continue. Fantasy players like Williams tend to run hot for a month or so over the course of a season, and his hot streak just happens to be at the beginning of the year. Sell high candidates don't get more obvious. Sell High Golden Tate (Week 5 vs. Buffalo: 7 receptions, 149 yards, 1 TD): There's not a lot to say here. As long as Calvin Johnson is out or seeing limited use as a decoy, Tate is a stud. There is a strong chance that Megatron sits for this week's tilt against the Viings, and there is a 100% chance that he will be severely limited even if he suits up. If Calvin is out, there's a chance that Tate struggles without the benefit of The World's Scariest Decoy, but based on the last two weeks, it would take some seriously contrarian thinking or a ridiculously stacked roster for an owner to not start him. In the longterm, I don't see Tate as a top-12 receiver by the end of the year, seeing as how his present dominance is entirely a result of Johnson's injury. Trying to buy high on him goes against the whole idea of trading, and selling high should get disappointing returns, because a potential trade partner should understand that this whole thing is bound to go away whenever Megatron gets his ankle right. My advice: enjoy the ride while it lasts. Start With Confidence Kendall Wright (Week 5 vs. Cleveland: 6 receptions, 47 yards, 2 TDs, 43 yards rushing): Of his 20 standard league fantasy points, 12 came on touchdown catches, something he doesn't get very often, and 4 came on the second and third rushing attempts of his career. The point is, his first career multi-TD game and his second game ever taking rushing attempts just screams fluke, while his low receiving yardage total was very much in line with what he has done all season. I don't think this signals the...