This week, I'm going to do something a little different. Ordinarily, I pick between two and four players at each position whose performance was far from expectations and give them lengthy analysis. However, Week 9 had a number of outlier performances that were absolutely ridiculous even by the volatile and unpredictable standards set forth by fantasy football. For that reason I'm going to broaden the scope to a much larger number of players with a shorter analysis for each.
Every week of football has many surprising and unexpected occurrences, but there's a fine line between a normal week and a week where Nick Foles ties an all-time passing record in his ninth career start.
There's too much to talk about, so let's forgo the 600-word preamble and get straight to it:
Quarterbacks
Nick Foles (Week 9 at Oakland: 406 yards, 7 TD, 0 INT, 14 yards rushing)
So far this season, Foles has given us Sunday's record-tying masterpiece, an absolute stinker against Dallas, an excellent performance against Tampa, and a solid relief appearance against the Giants. He's batting 3-for-4, and he doesn't face a single top-10 pass defense the rest of the way. Matt Ryan owners may have found a late-season savior.
Add and Start
Tom Brady (Week 9 vs. Pittsburgh: 432 yards, 4 TDs, 0 INT, -1 yard rushing)
After all of the fantasy experts officially lost all confidence in him as an every-week starter and facing down the defense that's allowing the 4th-least points to QBs, Brady decided to go off for 33 points because he has trolling down to an art form. This is still only his second 20-point game of the season, and he scored in the single digits in three out of four games before Sunday. His remaining schedule is tough, culminating in two difficult road games in weeks 15 and 16.
Sell High
Case Keenum (Week 9 vs. Indianapolis: 350 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT 26 yards rushing)
He's probably locked down the starting job the rest of the way since Houston's season is lost and they're going to want to take a good look at what they have in Keenum. There are too many more established options available to seriously consider a start in one-QB leagues, but he immediately enters the starting conversation in two-QB formats and should be owned in 12-team leagues.
Add
Jason Campbell (Week 9 vs. Baltimore: 262 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT, 20 yards rushing)
Ever notice that anyone not named Brandon Weeden does really well under center for Cleveland? Crazy at it sounds, it would appear that a mobile quarterback with experience running a competent NFL offense gives the Browns a better chance to win than a statue with Vince Young -caliber passing efficiency. I wouldn't add Campbell in anything less than a 14-team league, but keep an eye on him, because he has looked good and has a good core of young receiving talent to work with.
Watch Closely
Jake Locker (Week 9 at St. Louis: 185 yards, 0 TD, 2 INT, 10 yards, 1 TD rushing)
A trend I noticed in lots of fantasy columns last week was suggesting Jake Locker as an alternative to desperate Tom Brady owners. The reasoning was very sound, but because fantasy football's only function is to be a migraine inducing carnival of misery masquerading as a fun game, Locker scored 10 points to Brady's 33. On the plus side, Sunday was the first time in five games that Locker failed to score multiple touchdowns, and he has Jacksonville next. Keep the faith, my brothers.
Usable Spot Starter
Matt Ryan (Week 9 at Carolina: 219 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT, 2 yards rushing)
It's easy to sour on Ryan as a stud after throwing seven picks and only two TDs in the last two games. Worse yet, the Seahawks are on deck. However, the schedule softens considerably after his Week 10 nightmare. I would recommend him as a buy low if there was any kind of definite timetable on Roddy White's return, but for now, keep him out of your lineup next week and stand pat.
Bench
Andy Dalton (Week 9 at Miami: 338 yards, 0 TD, 3 INT, 12 yards rushing)
That was a massive disappointment after throwing 11 touchdowns over the previous three games, but Dalton has always been a very streaky player. Last week, I regarded him as a high-upside fill-in, and that opinion hasn't really changed.
Usable Spot Starter
Running Backs
Chris Johnson (Week 9 at St. Louis: 150 yards, 2 TD, 3 receptions for 20 yards)
For a second I thought I was watching a DVR'd game from 2009. The name " Chris Johnson " has incredibly toxic connotations for 95% of fantasy owners, so selling high can only result in disappointing returns. He has one of the most favorable rushing schedules in the league going forward, so why sell high anyway?
Start With Confidence
Zac Stacy (Week 9 vs. Tennessee: 127 yards, 2 TD, 6 receptions for 51 yards)
There's no question he's won the workhorse rushing role as long as he's healthy. Part of me wants to label him as a sell high because his value won't be higher than it is right now and his remaining schedule is tough, but he put up 14 points on the vaunted Panthers D and rushed for 134 yards on the dreaded Seahawks unit, so he strikes me as more matchup proof than your average bear.
Start With Confidence
Giovani Bernard (Week 9 at Miami: 79 yards, 2 TD, 4 receptions for 25 yards)
Were it not for the bruised ribs, you would be looking at even higher numbers. That 35-yard touchdown run has to be seen to do it justice. The sickening change-of-direction skills required to make that play happen simply aren't possessed by many players. If you can sell high and get a king's ransom for him by all means do it, but otherwise keep playing him every week. An inconsistent workload will lead to a few clunkers, but his skill set is too complete and his nose for the end zone is too strong to bench.
Start With Confidence
Mike James (Week 9 at Seattle: 158 yards, 2 receptions for 8 yards, 2-yard TD pass)
This 158-yard performance came after a somewhat respectable outing against Carolina. He's still looking for his first touchdown, and I don't expect another passing TD anytime soon, but with so many RBs hurt he has undeniable flex appeal against a Miami team that Giovani Bernard carved up.
Usable Flex Play
Chris Ivory (Week 9 vs. New Orleans: 139 yards, 1 TD)
That was a monster game, but remember that Sunday's breakout and week 7's unexpectedly huge workload were bridged by a Week 8 where he put up one entire fantasy point. Weeks 7 and 9 are also the only two games in which he topped five points this season. Even if he miraculously breaks the pattern set forth by his entire career and stays healthy, he's still too unreliable to trust with a starting gig any given week.
Take Anything You Can Get
Trent Richardson (Week 9 at Houston: 20 yards, 2 receptions for 33 yards)
Why do fantasy websites continue to rank T-Rich as a high-end No. 2 RB going forward? He's averaging about 6.5 fantasy points a week, and he's yet to average 4.0 yards per carry in any single contest. The evidence that Richardson is not very good is overwhelming. The Rams next week are his most enticing matchup yet, but he's nothing more than a low-end flex.
Usable Flex Play
DeMarco Murray (Week 9 vs. Minnesota: 31 yards, 6 receptions for 19 yards)
A stat I should have included was the fact that he only had four carries. He's still working his way back from a knee injury, but he broke off a 27-yard run and hauled in a half-dozen catches, showing that he's clearly improving and a worthy PPR asset even on his worst day. Anticipate improved health and a ramped up workload next week.
Keep Starting
Ray Rice (Week 9 at Cleveland: 17 yards, 3 receptions for 21 yards)
Maybe I'm in denial about how used up and broken down Ray Rice looks out there because I'm the same age as him. I know he had the hip flexor injury and he's had lots of touches over the years, but a 26-year old who hasn't missed a game since 2008 really shouldn't look like Willis McGahee . By virtue of workload and goal line duties he's probably worth using at least as a flex play, but his physical state combined with horrendous Ravens' run blocking gives no cause to attempt a buy-low.
Keep Starting
Wide Receivers
Andre Johnson (Week 9 vs. Indianapolis: 9 receptions, 229 yards, 3 TDs)
He was started in 100% of fantasy leagues last week, so it's not like I need to tell you that starting an arguable Hall of Famer in the process of averaging over 100 yards a week is a good idea, but I will say that if you planned on selling high or needed to sell off a stud for more depth, this is definitely the week to do it. He'll still be more than worthy of starting next week, but traveling to Arizona and matching up with Patrick Peterson fresh off a bye will very likely result in a far more down-to-earth stat line that will drop his trade value.
Start With Confidence / Sell High (if applicable)
Riley Cooper (Week 9 at Oakland: 5 receptions, 139 yards, 3 TDs)
A few weeks ago I said that Riley Cooper was only worth picking up as a joke in case you named your team after him. Well, now he carries the added bonus of actually being a potentially reliable fantasy producer. I'm not quite ready to trust him as a starter, partly because I'm still not a full believer in his talents and partly because actively rooting for him makes me feel physically ill, but Cooper has 58 points in three Foles' starts and 14 points in six Vick starts. With Foles likely earning the job the rest of the way, Cooper's stock has undeniably skyrocketed.
Add
Aaron Dobson (Week 9 vs. Pittsburgh: 5 receptions, 130 yards, 2 TDs)
Rookie receiver Aaron Dobson looks like Tom Brady 's premier downfield threat, with nine receptions, 190 yards, and three touchdowns over the last two games. Before you go and immediately promote him to your starting lineup, remember that rookie receiver Kenbrell Thompkins had a two-game stretch with nine receptions, 168 yards, and three touchdowns earlier this year, and he was a healthy scratch in Week 9....
The Weekly Barometer - Week 10 fantasysharks.comTue 11/5/13 9:06 AM