Welcome to The Lowdown for Week 4. This is my little corner of the fantasy football universe--feel free to pull up a chair and stay a while!
Tampa Tempest
Last week I speculated that things were not going smoothly for Greg Schiano in Tampa, despite all the official denials. This week, we find that those denials were as legitimate as all those Clinton denials (take your pick of Bill or Hillary).
QB Josh Freeman was benched in favor of rookie Mike Glennon this week. Now, I'm no fan of Freeman's-- at the time he was drafted, I stated I thought the Bucs took him about four rounds too early. But his benching was a huge slap in the face; understandably, Freeman wants a trade. I think it's unlikely a trade will happen; Freeman earns too much money and, let's face it, he really isn't all that good.
You have to wonder how Schiano's handling of Freeman is affecting the team; not only is he disrupting any team cohesiveness which may have existed, he is painting himself as a huge jerk that doesn't know how to coach grown men.
I'm still sticking with last week's assertion that I expect Schiano to be let go at the end of the season; he's simply too much of a jerk to be the head coach of an NFL team. If he's lucky, he might be able to find work as a coordinator somewhere.
Next Time, Try DiGiorno
Lions' leading receiver, WR Nate Burleson (that's right, look it up), suffered a broken arm this week in a car accident that was initiated by... a couple of pizzas.
Apparently, Burleson was driving with a couple of hot pizzas in the seat next to him; at some point, he stopped short. In an effort to protect his pizzas (as any noble gentleman would do), he stuck out his right arm to keep the pizzas from sliding off the seat. I don't know what 'ol Nate likes on his pizzas, but it must've been something meaty because his act of valor ended up breaking his forearm.
But don't worry, Lions' fans: Burleson should be back sometime in November. Although, because the Lions' IR-Return spot is already occupied by Monte Owens (who?), the Lions will have to essentially write off a roster spot while Burleson recuperates. Unless TE Brandon Pettigrew suddenly awakes from his slumber, Burleson may not be coming back to a contender.
False Hope
It's amazing how many pundits will continue to hype their preseason picks, even in the face of impending doom. I'm talking about all those bobble heads that are trying to convince us that some 0-3 teams still have a shot at "turning it around"... specifically, the Redskins and Giants.
Unfortunately, Adrian Peterson's amazing 2012 season set the bar for athletes returning from serious knee injuries--if Peterson could come back and be awesome so quickly, surely the same could be expected from Robert Griffin III, right? Wrong... in the first three games, it's clear that the Redskins offense is mediocre (at best) without the 2012 version of RGIII at the helm. And, it's not like anyone expected the defense to be good enough to keep games close. Without a 100% Griffin, the team's lack of talent and depth is obvious--ironically, in part due to the heavy price they paid to acquire Griffin in last year's draft.
As for the Giants, I expected their defense to be horrible--the loss of safety Stevie Brown and their annual neglect of the LB position are just too much to overcome. But it's the fragility of the offense that has taken everyone by surprise: the offensive line stinks, the losses of Ahmad Bradshaw and Andre Brown have exposed David Wilson's shortcomings (fumbles, lack of tough running, no blitz pickups), and Eli Manning's regression to his "duck and chuck" ways. I know I'm alone on this one, but I have to put some of this on GM Jerry Reese: while he has made some solid draft choices, he's always left his team without much depth and has simply ignored entire positions (like linebacker). Throw in his conservative approach in free agency and it's easy to see how things have gone south for the G-Men.
On the bright side, the NFC East is so horrible that an 8-8 season might mean a division crown... but really, the Redskins and Giants could use a crappy season to reload in the 2014 Draft.
Interesting Players for Week 4
Not necessarily the players in line for the biggest games this week, but rather some players that caught my interest and upon whom I shall cast my gaze...
Bilal Powell, RB -- Jets (vs. Titans): Of all the Jets RBs heading into the season, it was Chris Ivory getting all of the attention (if anyone was paying attention to the Jets at all) but it's obvious that Powell is the better fit for this offense. His rushing numbers are fairly average (52-226-1) but he does manage to snag 2-3 passes a game--a bye week fill-in or injury replacement. But I'm more interested in his upside as the season progresses: I see Powell continuing to get the majority of touches and having his confidence (and performance) increase as the season goes on.
Santonio Holmes, WR -- Jets (vs. Titans): While Powell might already be scooped up in your league, Holmes may still be available; if he is, take a shot on him this week. Holmes' recovery from a severe foot injury has been largely overlooked by the media (a tough trick to pull in New York) but the fact that he's even on the field at this point in the season is very surprising. His YTD numbers don't jump out at you (9-218-1), but he's been building up his game stamina and it looks to me that in a week or two he'll be the Jets top option in the passing game. Look, the guy is a whiner and has a bad attitude; but he's got undeniable talent and if he's a waiver wire pick up for your team, that's a low-risk, high-reward situation.
Sam Bradford, QB -- Rams (vs. 49ers): Look who's playing like a big boy! By virtue of the Rams' horrible running game and bad defense, Bradford has found himself chucking the ball late in games during garbage time--a depressing situation for him, a great situation for fantasy owners. Bradford is averaging a shade under 300 yards per game and has a solid 6-2 TD/INT ratio. I'm not saying that Bradford should start ahead of Peyton Manning, but if you're starting Joe Flacco, Ryan Tannehill or Carson Palmer, you might want to take a look at Bradford, who's got much better receivers across the board and will be putting the ball in the air a lot.
Cecil Shorts, WR -- Jaguars (vs. Colts): This might be one of those cases where you drafted Cecil Shorts as your WR3, then realized the Jaguars do not have a pro QB on their roster--and thus benched or cut Shorts. Well, nothing could be further than the truth, as Shorts has put up numbers that make the case for him to be in your starting lineup every week (19-276-0). True, he hasn't found the end zone yet--but his three game average of 6-92-0 is good for 15 points in PPR leagues and should not be ignored. Of course, I have no idea how he's been able to put up those numbers with Chad Henne and Blaine Gabbert under center, but I figure it can't get any worse. Wait, is that JaMarcus Russell flying to South Florida?
Heath Miller, TE -- Steelers (vs. Vikings): I have to admit, I've always been a Heath Miller fan. I've always viewed him as vastly underrated and a big reason for the success that Ben Roethlisberger has enjoyed over the years.
Coming off a serious knee injury, a lot of people had written off Miller. I managed to stash him in several leagues, thinking that he'd be a great boost in the second half of the season (his projected return date from his knee injury). Well, Miller never went on the PUP list (as expected) and actually made the field last week. His output (3-35-0) was modest and he certainly seemed to be moving a bit gingerly--but it was great to see him back on the field. I think he immediately becomes Roethlisberger's go-to target, and I expect him to start putting up good TE numbers the rest of the way. If he's available in your league and you don't have a top TE, take a shot on him; I don't think you'll regret the move.
For some reason, I've been pretty good at giving you some TE picks these first three weeks: Kellen Winslow in Week 1, Charles Clay in Week 2 and Jordan Cameron last week. Maybe it's because I played the position in high school or maybe it's because I just got lucky; either way, if you're some sort of degenerate gambler (or just have the degenerate gambler mentality), I thought I'd remind you that I'm on a TE streak. That is all.
John T. Georgopoulos is an 18-year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John's Fantasy Forecast® series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he's been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on eight occasions. You can also listen to his weekly non-sports opinions here or follow him on Twitter @ThatRiotShow .
The Lowdown - Week 4 fantasysharks.comFri 9/27/13 6:00 AM