Welcome to The Lowdown for Week 1. This is my little corner of the fantasy football universe -- feel free to pull up a chair and stay a while!
Fine Whine
San Francisco 49ers coach Jim Harbaugh continues to play the part of the perpetually offended feminist. This week he complained to the league office that he was worried that the Green Bay Packers (and linebacker Clay Matthews specifically) were "targeting a specific player" -- 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick.
Of course, Matthews is targeting a specific player: the opposing QB. Last I checked, that's his job. I refuse to believe that Harbaugh truly thinks that the Packers have some sort of Bountygate going on; rather, he is acting like a hyper-sensitive host on MSNBC, taking offense at every utterance. His ultimate goal is to put some bias in the minds of the referees that are officiating the game this week, so that when Matthews separates Kaepernick's head from his shoulders after the fifth-consecutive read-option, it'll be Matthews who gets ejected.
I really hope Harbaugh gets some sort of horribly uncomfortable jock itch that lasts throughout the entire season.
New York State of Mind
Not only are the Jets destined for a horrible season, they seem destined to lead the league in drama. Thanks to their blowhard of a head coach, Rex Ryan, every action and reaction becomes a subplot to some as yet undefined TV "Movie of the Week:"
Did Ryan set up the lovable yet comically inept Mark Sanchez to fail by putting him back into a meaningless preseason game in the fourth quarter surrounded by third-stringers? Because no head coach would do that with his starting quarterback, right? Is talented bad boy wide receiver Santonio Holmes still recovering from last season's foot injury? Or is he making a "business decision" to stay off the field while rookie quarterback Geno Smith gets a few games under his belt? Speaking of Smith, why is he refusing to watch film of Darrelle Revis? Is it confidence, cowardice or lack of higher brain function? In a league where every team can seemingly sign or draft at least one player to sell jerseys, the Jets have managed to avoid doing so. Thankfully, it's not like New York is a big media town, so Ryan can probably just keep a low profile until he gets fired at the end of the season and then gets hired to be the new defensive coordinator for whichever team is stupid enough to make his twin brother Rob Ryan its head coach.
Shocking Truths and Revelations
Former Chicago Bears' linebacker Brian Urlacher recently admitted that the Bears' defense would fake injuries when facing an up-tempo offense in order to slow the pace of the game. While everyone who's been around any level of football for any amount of time accepts this as a tactic of the game, sportswriters around the country seem to have never really noticed this occurrence. I can reasonably arrive at this conclusion because "FakeInjuryGate" has been as revelatory to them as Benghazi. Be on your toes, Chip Kelly!
I'm waiting for the next big Watergate-level revelation to emerge from Urlacher -- how he would occasionally yell "hut-hut" to confuse offensive linemen or insult Aaron Rodgers' momma during a game. Get those pens and note pads ready boys ...
Defensive Downgrade
Watching the preseason games, it's been abundantly clear that all the rules implemented by the league to cut down on big hits and transform football into a slightly more feminine version of Italian League soccer have succeeded. Defenders are visibly pulling up prior to making contact, especially on crossing routes and slants and (with rare exception) are simply not interested in making big hits due to the risk of being heavily fined or suspended.
Of course, like most rules and regulations implemented "for our own good," there's unintended consequences -- for example, in the few cases where I have seen safeties or linebackers go for the big hit, I've noticed that they seem to be going lower...which will likely lead to more serious knee injuries. Which will lead to more rules next season...and so on and so forth, until we're all forced to skip watching the New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles game in favor of the more masculine and hard-hitting Manchester United-Arsenal match. At least those guys have several decades of experience of flopping, whining and getting fans to watch boring sporting events.
And if you know anything about me at all, you know that the fact that I was forced to type "Manchester United vs. Arsenal" means that I need to go take a shower, ASAP.
Interesting Players for Week 1
Not necessarily the players in line for the biggest games this week, but rather some players that caught my interest and upon whom I shall cast my gaze...
BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, Cincinnati (at Chicago): With all the excitement surrounding rookie running back Giovani Bernard, a lot of fantasy owners seem to have forgotten about Green-Ellis. Green-Ellis is a grinder, never fumbles and almost never complains about anything; in other words, he's a perfect goal-line back who will never get into coach Marvin Lewis' doghouse. I still see him as someone who will produce steady (if not spectacular) output for his owners while Bernard gains valuable experience.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, Indianapolis (vs. Oakland): Here's another veteran that several people abandoned this season. In several experts' leagues this season, I managed to nab Bradshaw as an RB4 while everyone else was infatuated with Vick Ballard and (ugh) Donald Brown. While Bradshaw is an injury risk, he is also a warrior; the only way he stays off the field is if the trainers chain him to the bench. He's the best blocking running back on the roster, has the most experience and is a proven winner. I don't care what the depth chart says, Bradshaw is the Colts' starting running back every time he suits up.
Nate Washington, WR, Tennessee (at Pittsburgh): I'm not sure what was in the contract Washington signed with the Devil, but whatever it was must've been pretty good. Despite average talent and a plethora of young hotshots drafted to replace him, Washington always seems to be the starting wide receiver for the Titans. With Ike Taylor likely focused on Kenny Britt, I wouldn't be surprised to see Washington produce a solid fantasy performance against his former team, somewhere in the five-catch, 70-yard range.
Kellen Winslow, TE, New York Jets (vs. Tampa Bay): Remember Winslow? He used to be a good tight end in this league. Now I know what you're thinking: how could I possibly be interested in any Jets' player, especially one that hasn't really played since 2011? Well, my thinking is that the Jets running game stinks and the Jets passing game stinks. Their starting quarterback is rookie Geno Smith, who was outplayed by both Mark Sanchez and Matt Simms this preseason (take a moment to think about that). And just to make things even more hopeless, their former All-Universe cornerback, Darrelle Revis, is starting for the Bucs and rendering Stephen Hill even more worthless.
Under such daunting circumstances, I figure that (a) Smith will be running for his life a lot and (b) when he does decide to put the ball in the air, Winslow becomes his most appealing target. Remember, Winslow was always nicked up during his days in Cleveland and Tampa and didn't exactly have Pro Bowl quarterbacks to work with -- yet from 2006-11, he played in 90 games with 432 catches for 4,786 yards and 23 touchdowns. That works out to roughly 12 points per reception points per game, and I'll take that from a TE2.
Zach Ertz, TE, Philadelphia (at Washington): OK, I admit that this one's a flyer. I admit that I'm caught up in the buzz around Kelly's innovative, fast-paced offensive schemes and whether or not they'll be effective in the NFL. We all know that LeSean McCoy will get his, and DeSean Jackson will get the lion's share of the wide receiver action. But Kelly's offense does make use of a lot of two tight end sets, and Ertz is clearly the tight end on the Eagles' roster who is the most capable of getting downfield and making big plays. I don't know if he'll be immediately productive, but I do think it'll be fun to watch this first game.
John T. Georgopoulos is an 18-year veteran of fantasy sports journalism. John's Fantasy Forecast® series has won the prestigious Fantasy Sports Writers Association (FSWA) award for Best Series, and he's been nominated as an FSWA Award finalist on eight occasions. You can also listen to his weekly non-sports opinions here.
The Lowdown - Week 1 fantasysharks.comFri 9/6/13 8:00 AM