In my opinion, studs have been underperforming. I'm not saying there aren't a few that have lived up to expectations: Peyton Manning, Adrian Peterson and Aaron Rodgers have been as advertised. But guys like Trent Richardson, Ray Rice, David Wilson and Stevan Ridley have disappointed, to say the least. I am fortunate to own three of those four guys on one team. In case you are wondering, that team is 0-2. In that league, I am between a rock and a hard place. Or maybe I'm just dead. I don't really know.
As far as Richardson goes, I'll give you my spin on the trade: I think going to a better offense ultimately helps him. This week will be tough sledding against a San Francisco defense that will play like a pack of honey badgers. But Indianapolis didn't trade for Richardson to sit him. I think he gets some carries as they try to involve him early. This also helps Andrew Luck, Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton and even Coby Fleener. The only guy it really hurts is Ahmad Bradshaw, who will soon be relegated to occasional third down work. As far as Cleveland, it shouldn't have much of an impact on Josh Gordon or Jordan Cameron because the Browns weren't using the run game anyway. They're going to continue to chuck it.
With guys underperforming and a few key injuries already taking their toll, what do you do if your team is already being held together by bubble gum and duct tape? What do you do if you're already stretching to rationalize which backup gets a spot start this week?
Below, I'll list a player with some upside for this week, their Week 3 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com .
DISCLAIMER:
The hope is that you don't find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge that bullet. But hope won't help you come Sunday.
Let's move on to this week's targets, keeping in mind that these aren't every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you're in some kind of roster emergency.
QB
Jake Locker vs. San Diego -- 39 percent. Locker struggled in Pittsburgh in Week 1. He was better in Houston last week. But this week, he gets a San Diego secondary that has been victimized by both Matt Schaub and Michael Vick in recent weeks. The Titans will set the tone with Chris Johnson, but Locker will still need to make plays. I like Locker to hit our projection: 215 yards passing and a pair of scores.
Terrelle Pryor at Denver -- 27 percent. This is Pryor's third appearance. That may tell you all you need to know about him, but the fact remains that a subpar quarterback with running ability can provide fantasy value. Will the Oakland Raiders win? No. Will he throw for 300 yards? I seriously doubt it. Will he throw for the 195 and a score we've projected? I think so. Will he run for 60 yards? Yes.
Brian Hoyer at Minnesota -- 2 percent. Again, this is only if all your other quarterbacks are dead. But for argument's sake; the Browns will employ a pass-heavy attack against a porous Minnesota defense; Josh Gordon will return from suspension; and Trent Richardson is gone. What else are they going to do with the ball? We have him projected for 240 yards, a touchdown and an interception. That may still be ambitious, but if you're considering this, you're in a dark place right now anyway.
RB
James Starks at Cincinnati -- 52 percent. Starks burst onto the scene when Eddie Lacy suffered an unfortunate concussion last week. He became the first Green Bay running back to rush for 100-plus yards in 45 games. I don't necessarily think he goes for 100 again, especially against a stingy Cincinnati run defense, but the Bengals will have their hands full with Aaron Rodgers and that receiving corps. We've projected 75 yards rushing, 50 yards receiving and a touchdown, and while that is a lofty target, I think Starks can put up 100 total yards and should get a few red zone touches.
Chris Ogbonnaya at Minnesota -- 5 percent. With Trent Richardson in Indianapolis, the Cleveland backfield is in shambles. This week, it looks like a committee between Ogbonnaya and Bobby Rainey. Rainey is listed as the starter, although he won't be the answer long term, and the Browns will likely use Ogbonnaya more as he's their pass catching option. This week, the Browns face a Minnesota front that has given up a ton of points to opposing rushers. We have him projected for 20 yards rushing and 45 yards receiving. I think he hits those targets at a minimum.
Willis McGahee at Minnesota -- 33 percent. I mentioned that the Cleveland running game is a mess, right? Well, they've brought in an accomplished veteran to tote the rock in McGahee. He'll end up being the lead guy in the coming weeks, and may even get some run this week. He's a better long term flex play than a Week 3 option, but you'll need to get him now if you're going to get him. We don't have any projections for him, but I do think he gets a few carries this week while he gets his legs under him.
Isaiah Pead at Dallas -- 33 percent. Pead returned from a one-game suspension last week, presumably to spell Daryl Richardson. Instead, he played quite a bit as the St. Louis Rams tried to come back in Atlanta. He only got three touches, but he's getting an opportunity. Keep in mind that Richardson has been fairly unimpressive thus far, and I think Pead will get a chance to perform. He's projected for 35 yards on the ground and another 25 through the air, and I think he can hit those targets this week in Dallas. I also think his real value is still to come.
WR
Marlon Brown vs. Houston -- 30 percent. Brown got into the end zone once again last week, and he's quickly become a trusted target for Joe Flacco. I've been a big fan of his since the preseason, and I think Brown continues to make plays going forward. With the running game looking inconsistent, the Ravens are counting on their big money quarterback, and he seems to count on Brown to move the chains. We've projected five catches for 70 yards and a touchdown, and I think he surpasses those numbers this weekend against Houston.
Aaron Dobson vs. Tampa Bay -- 22 percent. Dobson made his debut last week against the New York Jets, catching a 39-yard touchdown to kick things off. But then his dream start turned into a bit of a nightmare, as he bungled several targets after that. With Danny Amendola out, Tom Brady has Julian Edelman, Dobson and undrafted rookie Kenbrell Thompkins. Edelman is the most reliable, but the two rookies are going to get targets, also. I think Dobson reaches the five catch, 60-yard stat line we've projected, and I think his size and ability get him a look in the red zone.
Kendall Wright vs. San Diego -- 20 percent. Since I'm a believer in Jake Locker this week, it should come as no surprise I like his top wideout, as well. Wright sustained a concussion in Week 2, but he's expected to suit up in Tennessee's home opener. He's easily the most reliable Titans receiver, especially with Kenny Britt perpetually in the dog house with coach Mike Munchak. Remember that San Diego has been shredded by opposing passing attacks. The Fantasy Sharks projection is six catches, 75 yards and a touchdown, and I think those numbers are pretty realistic.
Rueben Randle at Carolina -- 33 percent. Randle got off to a fast start in Week 1, catching five passes for 101 yards, but struggled in Week 2. This week, I think the New York Giants offense can open up a bit against the Panthers. With the attention that Victor Cruz has been getting, I think Randle will surpass the four catch, 30-yard stat line we've projected.
Good luck in Week 3.
Drew Magyar is a fantasysharks.com staff writer and member of the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. He can be reached at drewmagyarat gmail.com.
Rock and a Hard Place - Week 3 fantasysharks.comFri 9/20/13 8:00 AM 3 Comments
Comments
dundy123Sat 9/21/13 8:13 PM
brady or schaub
sevendust1Fri 9/20/13 5:47 PM
Romo or Schaub?
northvalFri 9/20/13 6:25 PM
Romo at home.