Make sure to follow me on twitter @JLanfranca to keep up on your football knowledge through the NFL playoffs and bowl season!
As we enter Week 15, it is very likely if you are still reading fantasy football information sites, you are very close to reaching the championship of your given league. It is always hard to weigh a hot player against a player who hasn't been putting up elite numbers but has a great matchup this week. For example, what if you are deciding between Marshawn Lynch and Felix Jones this week? Start the player who is clearly been playing at an elite level or do you start the player who is fresh against a below average defense? It is a decision you will have to live with one way or another. I advise two things here to keep in mind ... follow your instinct and gut feeling first and foremost. If you do that, making the wrong decision will be a lot easier on yourself. Secondly, stick to your research and on field football matchup knowledge. Case and point, Jones would be my choice of the two if I had the option this weekend.
As for playing in leagues with head-to-head regular seasons and a six-team seeded head-to-head playoff format, I say to you, think outside the box. I recommend shortening the regular season to less than 13 games and putting more emphasis on making sure the best two teams make the championship game. How do you do such a thing you ask? You can either make each round more than one week in length, or you can throw seeding out the window and have more of a total points race to the finish in the playoff weeks to either make or win the championship.
If you love the idea of a one-week, Week 16 matchup for all the marbles, fine. There are ways to keep that intact and still take some luck out of the equation. Leagues where having one bad week in the playoffs can cost you a championship simply should not exist any longer with the customizability of fantasy football website on the internet today. If you want to consider your league a serious league, and place a large emphasis or ‘prize' for capturing your league's championship, it is time to consider making some changes.
If you are desperate for a quarterback this week, you must take a look at Jake Locker against the Indianapolis Colts. Even in deeper leagues, he probably is still available. You can pretty much count on a touchdown worth of rushing yards, and his chances of being a bust in this contest are extremely low. Another thing I really like about Locker is he is not afraid to put the ball up deep down field. And while he has a limited sample size, his 8.7 yards per attempt is a very positive sign against a Bottom 5 secondary this week.
It wouldn't be a readable column without mentioning Tim Tebow, would it? Why does this guy have almost 800 fourth quarter passing yards in eight starts? Everyone is trying to figure it out. It is such a simple answer to me it is almost comical. What else is comical, is when people say John Fox should be in consideration for Coach of the Year. Fox is still very skeptical of Tebow, and that is why they run the most conservative offense in the entire NFL in the first three quarters. Which brings us to the real football answer to the mystery question. The reason Tebow throws for so many fourth quarter yards... is because they let him throw! And he is doing quite well! The man has tremendous pocket presence and makes great decisions. His accuracy is highly underrated, and while I thought he was a bit off on more throws than usual Sunday, his wide receivers are in the bottom few in the league when it comes to gaining separation. Don't be the sports talk radio dude who calls in and still thinks Tebow can't play. I hear people say, "Well, he will never win a Super Bowl." I am just glad we have already progressed well past wondering if he was a NFL starter and now wonder just how far he could lead the Denver Broncos. Most importantly, keep in mind that he is only 11 total starts into his career. Eleven!
The Kansas City Chiefs firing Todd Haley was the right move. His sense of entitlement and arrogance was evident with two mistakes on his part that cost him his job. His handling of the preseason and training camp when the lockout ended. I still believe that was the only reason for the Chiefs' slow start and might have even contributed to the injuries to Jamaal Charles and Eric Berry. The other mistake, of course, keeping Tyler Palko on the football field. Palko should have been benched for Ricky Stanzi after his first miserable start.
The Chiefs had mustered about one touchdown in 49 offensive possessions before the touchown Sunday late in the game in which they were getting blown out. The problem is, no coach with a past worth speaking of will come to Kansas City because owner Clark Hunt does not want to spend the money necessary to make the Chiefs a legit contender, something they haven't been since 2005. If you think the Chiefs were a legit contender in 2010, just ask yourself, really what was their signature win? It was against Norv Turner. Enough said.
Quick Hits:
No wide receiver in the NFL is within 25 catches of Wes Welker. Jimmy Graham has 80 to lead all tight ends. The top two scoring wide receiver-tight end combination? Rob Gronkowski and Wes Welker.
Laurent Robinson and Dez Bryant have virtually the same amount of fantasy points. As do Arian Foster and Rob Gronkowski. As do Marshawn Lynch and Adrian Peterson. Quick thing to keep in mind ... Lynch is only 25 years of age.
You saw what happens in the New York Giants/Dallas Cowboys game when teams start to gameplan for Victor Cruz and start leaving Hakeem Nicks in single coverage. Nicks' biggest year actually could be next season after everything shakes out.
Randall Cobb will be the benefactor of the injury to Greg Jennings in fantasy football circles. His explosiveness and understanding of the offense at this point of the season should earn him five-plus targets per game for the next couple contests. Cobb only needs one opening and the starting of him will be worth it for you.
Miles Austin was at fault late in the game not getting to what I considered a great throw by Tony Romo. A game-clinching play was at stake, and Austin was not confident enough in his hamstring to turn it on enough to get to that football. Lost it in the lights or not, the real reason was the hamstring.
Good luck to who are playing for a chance to advance to the Week 16 fantasy football championships next week! It is the reason we all play this fun and exciting game.
@JLanfranca
JL's Week 14 Observation Deck fantasysharks.comWed 12/14/11 9:06 AM 26 Comments
Comments
jrharrisSat 12/17/11 5:20 PM
Do I go with Bush, Lynch, or AP? already had MJD play thurs night
smallpasturemanSat 12/17/11 5:41 PM
the beast
omgsaltThu 12/15/11 3:49 PM
julio jones jimmy ghram or antonio gates pick two
omgsaltThu 12/15/11 3:46 PM
r u joshing me if you dont plat THE BEAST you are on some kind of drug
BradenGriffittsWed 12/14/11 3:45 PM
lynch vs bears or helu vs giants?
ttfootballWed 12/14/11 9:25 PM
Lynch= hes a beast
omgsaltThu 12/15/11 3:54 PM
get off the crack giants front four is amazing led by piere paul and justin tuck
and if lynch gets his skittles hes a studmuffin
jr20Wed 12/14/11 2:45 PM
newton or yates
FantasyFanatic4Wed 12/14/11 3:32 PM
Newton. No doubt.
letsdrinkaforteWed 12/14/11 5:36 PM
dumb to even consider yates
FantasyFanatic4Thu 12/15/11 11:05 AM
Ikr.
omgsaltThu 12/15/11 3:48 PM
i had newter and i traded him cause of ints and texans rely on the run game to much. newton because of the opponite
FantasyFanatic4Thu 12/15/11 4:17 PM
True dat.
SBowens880Wed 12/14/11 10:40 AM
I got Foster, Lynch, Bradshaw, Mendehal, and jones. Pick two
FantasyFanatic4Wed 12/14/11 11:18 AM
Easy. Lynch and foster.
darwindeuceWed 12/14/11 11:27 AM
felix is playing tampa...worst d in the league...I'd play him for sure and then lynch...not mendy...he's playing the niners.
FantasyFanatic4Wed 12/14/11 11:28 AM
Mendy sucks anyway
jr20Wed 12/14/11 2:45 PM
Easy. Jones and Lynch
JohnnyLFootballWed 12/14/11 2:59 PM
Jones and Foster. Jones matchup should allow a potential 150 yard day, Foster is unbenchable
FantasyFanatic4Wed 12/14/11 3:33 PM
Foster is unbenchable, and lynch is HOT. he's in the zone, and jones is horrible. Lynch and foster.
jpatrickWed 12/14/11 3:54 PM
Agreed on Jones. Dude has like 2 or 3 CAREER 100 yard games. No durability either.
FantasyFanatic4Thu 12/15/11 11:05 AM
Thank u. Last week some guy said someone should start held over Greene and Greene got 24 pts while he'll got 13
omgsaltThu 12/15/11 3:52 PM
that sucks you should find that guy
FantasyFanatic4Thu 12/15/11 4:16 PM
Ikr. Wonder if he won
FruitcakeLandFri 12/16/11 12:41 PM
i got an idea it's your team YOU pick them!!!!!
jpatrickFri 12/16/11 11:00 PM
Tell the original guy that then.
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