Fantasy Intelligence Report: Chris Johnson Update, Wide Receiver Br... fantasysharks.com Sat 8/27/11 9:06 AM

Will Chris Johnson be ready for the season opener, and should you draft him? Is there a new Super Mario about to jump over opposing defenses? And how did I fare in a recent expert auction draft? Find out the answers to these questions and more. The Fantasy Intelligence Report is back again, and it's running as strong as a Mack truck. Lets get to it. Note: All ADPs in this report are courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com (re-draft formats) T.P.C. -- Tennessee's Problem Child The longer Tennessee Titans running back Chris Johnson continues to play the role of "titanic problem child" and make the Tennessee tilt-a-whirl spin out of control, the larger the migraines will get for fantasy owners. The latest according to the Nashville Tennessean is that Johnson and the Titans are "not seeing eye-to-eye," and are far from reaching a new deal for the playmaking running back. Johnson and his agent Joel Segal met with Titans General Manager Mike Reinfeldt and Titans Vice President of Football Operations Vin Marino. "I feel like I came in yesterday and they gave me their points and we gave them all of our points," Johnson said on Thursday, "and we are not seeing eye-to-eye right now." The good news though, is that Johnson is in tip-top shape and has been working out on his own while he waits for his big payday. "Basically my plan is to continue to handle my part and let Joel handle his part," Johnson said. "All I can do is continue to work out and stay in shape. From them seeing me yesterday, (Reinfeldt) knows I am in great shape, and he said ‘you're looking good' and things like that. All I can do right now is keep working out and keep waiting." Head coach Mike Munchak hasn't lost hope in his star runner, and wants Johnson to be ready for the Titans season opener against Jacksonville. "I know he wants to get this thing resolved. I know he wants to play this year. I don't think he wants to take the chance of missing games early,'' Munchak said. "So his thinking is the same as ours: We want him here and to be with us for the Jacksonville game." While some around the fantasy industry have no interest in dealing with Johnson, after seeing what happened with Vincent Jackson last season, I find him to be a worthy gamble, if you can afford it. But no matter what happens with this Tennessee soap opera fantasy owners should definitely keep Javon Ringer in mind, and at the top of their sleeper lists as their drafts progress, especially if they're brave enough to go all in on the "titanic problem child." According to TitansOnline.com both Ringer and offensive coordinator Chris Palmer are excited with the back-up's progression, and the way he has run with all the first team reps he has been receiving with Johnson not in camp. "All the opportunities I'm able to get with the ones feels like it's helping me a lot," Ringer said. "Just helping me to be more comfortable out there with the offense and the offensive line and with Matt (Hasselbeck). It's all beneficial. You can never get enough reps. I try to make the most of every opportunity I get." "I'm very pleased with Ringer," Palmer said. "He's exceeded my expectations. I was very, very pleased with him. We're going to have to find some plays for him when Chris gets back in here because he's done so well." Johnson's current ADP in drafts after August 15th is 5.55, which is down a little more than a half of a point from his overall ADP of 4.86. Ringer has seen his overall ADP jump from 179.09 to 159.85 in drafts after August 15th. Obviously that number will continue to decrease the longer Johnson holds out. W.R.B.O. -- Wide Receiver Breakouts Here are a few wide receivers who could have breakout seasons, but won't destroy the fantasy pocket book. There once was a time when Giants wide receiver Mario Manningham wore the Pillsbury Dough Boy label, being poked at from every direction. The funny thing now is that Manningham is ready to bake some opposing defensive backs as if they were rising dinner rolls. In fact, in a recent interview with WFAN Radio Giants head coach Tom Coughlin even suggested that the former Wolverine will be the slot receiver when three wideouts are on the field. In other words, Manningham will become Eli Manning's new possession-after-the-catch wide receiver, possibly filling the void of the departed Steve Smith. Expect big production from Big Blue's version of Super Mario in 2011, if the fourth year player can stay healthy. Manningham's current ADP in drafts after August 15th is 73.32. While Larry Fitzgerald continues to garner all the well-deserved attention, second year receiver Andre Roberts is slowly rising up fantasy draft boards, and for good reason. According to The Arizona Republic the Cardinals seem comfortable having Roberts start at wide receiver alongside the hard-working Fitzgerald. "Andre's had a great camp," assistant coach John McNulty said. He's playing like a starter. He played like a starter at the end of (last) year." Roberts primary competition as the season draws near is the oft-injured Early Doucet and the still raw and developing Stephen Williams. And unless a veteran like Terrell Owens weasels his way to the desert, Roberts is a good value pick late in drafts as a possible sleeping little giant ready to be woken up. Roberts' current ADP in drafts after August 15th is 197.00. Former Jacksonville Jaguar Mike Sims-Walker has been the most irritating, overvalued, and erratic fantasy wide receiver of the past two seasons; well at least in my opinion that is. Now that he has flown the coup to become a Ram though, the door to the Jaguars second starting receiver spot has swung wide open. Currently, it's Jason Hill's job to lose, and according to The Republic coaches and teammates, like quarterback David Garrard, believe he has the ability to turn in to a very good wide receiver. "We have a lot of faith in Jason, just like we do all of our guys," Garrard said. "He's got the speed, the hands and the ability to be a No. 1 receiver in this league. You can see it in practice and in games. We expect to see it this season." Fantasy owners shouldn't expect number one-like production from the fifth year receiver, but Hill will provide great value for fantasy owners looking for a late round gamble who has the ability and opportunity to become a regular starter, especially in deeper leagues. Hill's current ADP in drafts after August 15th is 235.95. S.S.G. --- SOFA So Good A few days ago I received an e-mail from a fellow shark writer with ideas for content for a potential local ESPN radio interview that may be on the horizon. He reiterated a strong revolt against selecting Chris Johnson, and was trying to entice me to talk about Javon Ringer as a nice fantasy sleeper. Now let's fast forward to Wednesday night's 2011 SOFA Auction Expert League draft (points-per-reception format), one of my favorite drafts all year, and a draft I was destined to defy the words of wisdom within the tank. I mean, isn't that how it always goes? Johnson was up for bid early on, and with the price at a bargain amount of $33 I was determined to drive up the value of one of the NFL's most current prolific runners. Before I knew it though, I was in a bidding war with another owner, before winning the bid at $39. Shock hit me like a Mack truck. At that point I didn't know what to think, except for: alright, I can try to work with this. So instead of sulking in the possible mistake I made, which I don't regret, I moved on and recovered well by adding both Rashard Mendenhall and Michael Turner at what I believe to be Big Lots-like prices of $38 and $25. Yeah boy! If Johnson scribes his John Hancock before the season opener I will have one sweet stable of running backs to go along with a solid supporting cast of players. At wide receiver I paid a high price ($41) for Cardinals star Larry Fitzgerald, but I truly believe he will be worth every penny, especially with a much better and more stable quarterback behind center heading in to 2011. I was also able to win bids on Anquan Boldin ($16) and Mike Thomas ($12), who will be featured possession receivers and PPR stars. Later in the draft I reeled in Braylon Edwards, Hines Ward, and Roy Williams for $3 or less to fill my bench. My high upside pick was Browns rookie Greg Little ($2), who I believe will turn in to a fantasy star real quick if quarterback Colt McCoy continues to progress at a rapid pace. At quarterback I decided to keep my hand off the mouse when some of the top five were being bid on. In fact, there was only one quarterback I had eyes for, who I was almost guaranteed to land for a bargain price --- Eli Manning. Boy, was I right. Eli was all mine later in the draft for chump change ($6) and I couldn't have been happier. The Big Blue offensive director has thrown for 4,000+ yards and 27 or more touchdowns in each of the past two seasons, something I see him repeating in 2011, even with Steve Smith out of the equation. Along the way I collected Kevin Kolb as a back-up to Manning for a measly $3. Tight end was the final position for me to fill, and as I stated in the previous Fantasy Intelligence Report it's one of those positions I like to have an elite player. However, with the gamble I took early on with Johnson I wasn't about to pay $18-22 on Jermichael Finley or Antonio Gates; I couldn't afford to. Plan B was simple: wait until every team's pocket book emptied and then go after guys like Greg Olsen and Lance Kendricks, believing that one of them will rise up. Unfortunately though, Olsen's price went a little high ($11) for my liking as the draft wound down. I did end up claiming Kendricks at a nice price of $4 to go along with Chiefs rising talent Tony Moeaki ($2). I also drafted kicker Nick Folk and the Texans defense for a dollar each with my last two picks. Overall, I feel pretty good about my every week starting lineup of Manning, Mendenhall, Johnson (if he plays), Turner, Fitzgerald, Boldin, Thomas, Kendricks, Folk, and Houston, and have enough good depth at wide receiver to cover any significant time Johnson misses. As for the other teams, I really like what FF Today pieced together. He did a very nice job of assembling his core of starting running backs and receivers --- LeSean McCoy ($46), Matt Forte ($27), Peyton Hillis ($27), Roddy White ($34), Santana Moss ($13), and Austin Collie ($15). He could be a team to watch as the season progresses. I have to admit I was a little confused with the hype surrounding Reggie Bush ($15) and Fred Jackson ($17) late in the draft. I guess that could have happened though, because certain teams had some extra cash to spare. I was also confused that some owners were more liberal with some, what I consider to be unproven players who had concerns, but conservative with others who have numbers to back a gamble. For example, Felix Jones went for $28, while Maurice Jones-Drew, a top five overall pick when healthy, went for $30. This is a trend that fantasy owners need to keep an eye on. Here's a link to the full auction draft recap . Hopefully it can assist you in understanding current trends or give you an idea of where some value picks will be when you're ready to start spending your fantasy money. Q.T.C. -- Quoting The Coach I leave you with another coach's quote, courtesy of the Associated Press. It's in regards to a possible trade of Chris Johnson, and it was posed to Titans head coach Mike Munchak. "We would figure he's under contract for two years, he's going to be a Titan and we would hope a longer term than that," Munchak said Thursday. "But I don't think that's anything we would even give any consideration to. He's with us one way or another, and hopefully it ends up being on the field." Thanks for reading! Eric Huber is a staff writer for Fantasysharks.com.