1. Indianapolis -- Andrew Luck, QB ,Stanford. Duh. 2. Washington -- Robert Griffin III, QB, Baylor. We told you it was going to be the Redskins to make the trade, but they did give up more than we anticipated. It will be well worth it. 3. Minnesota -- Matt Kalil, T, USC. While the Vikings secondary is a mess, they must protect their franchise quarterback, Christian Ponder. They're hoping the Miami Dolphins trade up for Ryan Tannehill and are dropping the Maurice Claiborne smoke screens to see if anyone blinks, but ultimately this is a no-brainer pick. 4. Cleveland -- (Previous pick -- Justin Blackmon) Trent Richardson, RB, Alabama. The Browns have a lot of options, and ultimately we believe they will trade down, even though team president Mike Holmgren doesn't want them to, but if they stay put this pick makes the most sense. 5. Tampa Bay -- (Previous pick -- Trent Richardson) Maurice Claiborne, CB, LSU. Tampa Bay doesn't think it, but they need Claiborne to fall badly. Eric Wright is awful, Ronde Barber is almost cooked, and Aqib Talib is going to jail. 6. St. Louis -- (Previous pick -- Maurice Claiborne) Justin Blackmon, WR, Oklahoma State. The Rams know they are going to get an elite prospect with this pick; they just don't know which one. If Richardson fell we think they would take him, but that is their least desirable scenario. Ultimately, they want Claiborne or Blackmon, and in this version they get one of them. 7. Jacksonville -- Melvin Ingram, DE, South Carolina. This is Jacksonville's fall back plan, but it's still a good one. 8. Miami -- Ryan Tannehill, QB, Texas A&M. He is a perfect fit for the Dolphins offense and would explain why they low-balled Matt Flynn in free agency. We do not believe he is worth this pick, but given the recent trends with quarterback in the NFL some team is going to reach for the project. 9. Carolina -- Quintin Coples, DE, Carolina. Miami's reach means a stud defensive end is available for the Panthers. He has significant work ethic issues, but the Panthers locker room would be a good environment to get the most out of him. From a physical standpoint he looks everything like former Panthers stud Julius Peppers. If he slips past the Panthers, Carolina takes Luke Kuechly, or they trade down on draft day, it is only because the coaching staff doesn't think they can get the most out of Coples. 10. Buffalo -- Riley Reiff, T, Iowa. Pass rush is no longer a slam dunk with the signings of Mario Williams and Mark Anderson. We think it is still a possibility as the Bills have been just that bad against the pass and Anderson is limited, but with Demetrius Bell departed to Philadelphia, the match between need at tackle and talent available is a perfect match. 11. Kansas City -- Dontari Poe, DT, Memphis. The Chiefs badly needed to address the tackle position, but they decided to do it in free agency with former Texan Eric Winston, so Jonathan Martin is no longer an option here. General manager Scott Pioli comes from the mindset that a strong defensive line is paramount to success and he hired a defensive head coach this offseason. We still believe he is a reach because the on-field product leaves a lot to be desired, but someone is going to be blinded by his upside and the underwhelming defensive tackle class. We think David DeCastro would be a better pick. 12. Seattle -- (Previous pick -- Nick Perry) Luke Kuechly, LB, Boston College. A putrid pass rush needs to be addressed and Perry makes the most sense. A trade down is also a very likely scenario as offensive tackle Jonathan Martin and offensive guard David DeCastro both still remain on the board, but they are likely going in the next two picks. Perry should slip a bit further on draft day but we don't operate in hypotheticals here. Between the questionable scouting reports on Upshaw and the USC pipeline, we expect to see the Seahawks target him draft day. However, if the Seahawks stay put we think they go with the best pick available that also fills a need in the Boston College linebacker. 13. Arizona -- Jonathan Martin, T, Stanford. The Cardinals could take either Stanford offensive lineman as their offensive line is a mess, but Martin plays the premium position which also happens to be Arizona's bigger hole. Even though DeCastro is a better player, the Cardinals go with Martin. 14. Dallas -- David DeCastro, G, Stanford. Perfect scenario for the Cowboys as they addressed their other glaring issues (secondary) in free agency. Slam dunk pick if he falls. 15. Philadelphia -- Dre Kirkpatrick, CB, Alabama. We cautioned before that coach Andy Reid hates drafting linebackers early, he reminded you with the trade for DeMeco Ryans. Defensive tackle is their bigger need, but there are none worth this pick, so the Eagles target another premium position with this pick. Who would have thought cornerback would be a consideration with their cornerback corps before 2011? In the end, the Eagles clearly aren't sold on Asante Samuel long term and his expected replacement (Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie) is a bum. If Kirkpatrick is not the pick here it's because the Eagles traded down to a team (i.e. Cleveland) coveting Michael Floyd. 16. New York Jets -- Michael Floyd, WR, Notre Dame. This could be the team to trade up to get Riley Reiff or Jonathan Martin. They can't possibly believe Wayne Hunter can still play right tackle, can they? Since wide receiver was not addressed in free agency we assume they will go this direction in the draft if Floyd falls ... even though Tim Tebow (the thorn in the side of wide receivers everywhere) is now their backup. That said, we do not expect Floyd to be available this late. 17. Cincinnati -- Janoris Jenkins, CB, North Alabama. The Bengals want either him or Kirkpatrick. They can sit tight and just wait to see who falls. In this version Kirkpatrick didn't so we're giving them Jenkins. 18. San Diego -- Courtney Upshaw, DE/OLB, Alabama. Thankfully the Chargers have somewhat addressed the offensive line because, in our opinion, Cordy Glenn is not worth this spot. Upshaw is clearly the best player available despite what the recent reports have said, and he would be a slam dunk on a defense that is aging and struggling to put pressure on the quarterback. 19. Chicago -- Whitney Mercilus, DE, Illinois. Good move trading for Brandon Marshall because we don't have Floyd falling to the Bears anymore. They haven't addressed their issues at defensive end. Mercilus would fit in perfectly with this scheme. 20. Tennessee -- Mike Adams, T, Ohio State. The Titans will be heavily investing in the offensive line this offseason. Adams sucks, but he was evaluated well ... for some reason. The Titans would be wiser to look at Peter Konz instead. 21. Cincinnati -- Fletcher Cox, DT, Mississippi State. Neither of us are enthralled with Cox, but the opinions that matter do. The Bengals are often guilty of internet draft board theft due to a non-existent scouting department and draft accordingly, so he makes sense here as they have some holes to fill at defensive tackle with the departures of Frostee Rucker and Jonathan Fanene. 22. Cleveland -- (Previous pick -- Doug Martin) Kendall Wright, WR, Baylor. The Browns need playmakers and what they do at pick No. 4 probably depends on what they want with this pick, assuming they stay put at No. 4. Do they prefer Blackmon and Martin or Blackmon and Lamar Miller? Or Richardson and Floyd or Wright? In this version we went the Richardson route, but honestly either combination makes sense. The curveballs remain if they go Claiborne or trade down, though. We also expect the Browns to have to trade up a few spots to assure Wright as everyone else in the league would know they're looking at wide receiver if they go Richardson at pick No. 4. 23. Detroit -- Mark Barron, S, Alabama. Amari Spievey needs to be replaced, and Barron is one of the best players available. 24. Pittsburgh -- (Previous pick -- Luke Kuechly) Dont'a Hightower, LB, Alabama. The other best player available, by a lot. Pittsburgh drafts the best player available regardless, but it helps that they have a need at inside linebacker. Kuechly doesn't fall this time, but Hightower is still a bargain at this price. 25. Denver -- (Previous pick -- Devon Still) Doug Martin, RB, Boise State. The run defense is a big issue, so the Broncos would be wise to target Still if he is on the board. However, Peyton Manning-led teams have a tendency to go after offensive skill position players even if there is a need on defense, so be prepared for a curveball. Martin is the most complete non-Trent Richardson running back available in this draft, which includes pass blocking. That'll be music to Manning's ears on draft day. If available, don't be surprised to see the Broncos look at Kendall Wright, too. 26. Houston -- (Previous pick -- Kendall Wright) Kevin Zeitler, G, Wisconsin. The dream scenario does not fall the Texans' way as neither Wright nor Floyd fall to their pick, so they focus on their other glaring need on the offensive line. Scouts believe Cordy Glenn is the best available, but we think Zeitler is better and since this is our pick and we respect the Texans' scouting department, he is the pick. 27. New England -- Vinny Curry, DE/OLB, Marshall. The Patriots' pass rush is putrid. Curry is a perfect fit. 28. Green Bay -- (Previous pick -- Peter Konz) Nick Perry, DE/OLB, USC. With center no longer being a need, we don't believe the Packers covet Peter Konz. The best player available is Perry, and he fits an obvious need for Green Bay. They would be happy with either him or Curry on draft day. 29. Baltimore -- Zach Brown, LB, North Carolina. A great situation to harness a risky high upside player like Brown. Work ethic is a huge issue, but if coach John Harbaugh thinks he can work with Brown he is a slam dunk pick at this juncture. 30. San Francisco -- Peter Konz, C, Wisconsin. The 49ers have two options here, Konz and...