Rock And A Hard Place - Week 11 fantasysharks.com
Fri 11/16/12 5:00 AM
Four teams are on a bye in week 11: Minnesota, New York Giants, Seattle, and Tennessee. That means three top ten running backs and several solid receivers are out of lineups. Below, I'll list the player, their week 11 matchup, and the percentage of leagues in which he is owned according to our friends at fleaflicker.com. DISCLAIMER: The hope is that you don't find yourself in a situation like this. The hope is that you dodge the bullet. But hope won't help you come Sunday. Let's move on to this week's targets, keeping in mind that these aren't every week starters. Instead, these are guys that should only be used if you're in some kind of roster emergency, whether it be related to bye weeks or injuries. QB Nick Foles @WAS -- 15%. I know he's a rookie, and I know it's his first start, but he completed 22-of-32 passes last week against an underrated Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards, a score, and a pick in under three quarters. He now has a full week to prepare, a talented supporting cast, and a pass-happy offense. His offensive line still isn't healthy, or good for that matter, but the Redskins are one of the worst pass defenses in the league. Fantasysharks.com projects 230 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. I think he blows past those numbers. Sam Bradford vs NYJ -- 43%. Bradford has shown some flashes of the talent that made him the top overall selection in the draft a few years ago. While the Rams would like to be a run-oriented team they usually need to turn to the pass before the first half ends. Bradford looked much better last week against a proven San Francisco defense, and I believe that the biggest reason is Danny Amendola. Using Steven Jackson effectively helps, Amendola is his possession guy and security blanket. With Darrelle Revis out, I'm not afraid of the Jets defense at all, and I'd have no problem starting Bradford if needed. He'll easily top the 200 yards and score that we've projected. RB Marcel Reece vs NO -- 34%. With Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson out last week, Reece totaled 104 yards on 20 touches. He will start again and should receive a starter's workload. The Raiders coaching staff doesn't trust Taiwan Jones to hold onto the ball, so the speedier Jones will most likely see just a carry or two. Reece also faces the Saints historically poor defense and I think he outperforms the 95 total yards projected by the Fantasy Sharks staff. Chris Ivory @OAK -- 27%. While he is part of a very crowded backfield, it seems...
Good Call/Bad Call - Week 11 fantasysharks.com
Fri 11/16/12 4:00 AM
We are now firmly into the second half of the season and you need to keep your eyes wide open for that stud running back that surfaces in the second half of the season. There is always at least one running back that either by and injury or increased play, emerges in the second half of the season to help carry fantasy teams into the playoffs and maybe to a championship. In the past it has been Jamaal Charles (five 100-yard games from Week 8 to Week 17 in 2009), LeGarrette Blount (17.1 fantasy points per game from Week 8 to Week 17 in 2010) and Roy Helu (18.6 fantasy points per game from Week 9 to Week 17 in 2011). This year I'm keeping an eye on Vick Ballard, Marcel Reece, Chris Ivory and Jonathan Dwyer as potential guys that could breakout in the second part of the season. I'm not saying all or any of these guys are going to have a huge second half of the season, but just that you should keep your eye on them for increased workloads or if the running back ahead of them on the depth chart has an injury that lingers longer than it should. Keep your eyes open for that one stud running back. There's always one. Now on to the calls for the week. Quarterbacks Carson Palmer has been hot lately. All three of his best games of the year have come in the past four weeks. This week he gets another easy matchup with the easiest fantasy defense for quarterbacks to go against, New Orleans. The Saints have allowed three of their last four quarterbacks to throw for 330-plus yards and three touchdowns each. Palmer's on a hot streak against a very weak defense and that makes him a ‘good call' this week. Start him with confidence. If you're desperate and are looking at starting Nick Foles this week, go ahead and do it. Foles walks into a very nice match-up this week as he starts for the injured Michael Vick. The Redskins have been steadily allowing seven of the nine quarterbacks they've faced to score between 20 and 25 fantasy points against them. If the rookie is going to show us what he's got, this is going to be the week. Things don't get much easier than this. Start Foles if you've got no other options, he's a ‘good call' this week. If you're looking to start Josh Freeman this week, you may want to think again. Freeman has a tough matchup with Carolina. When Freeman played the Panthers in Week 1 he had just 138 passing yards with one touchdown and that game was in Tampa Bay. Since that Week 1 game, only one quarterback has thrown for more than one touchdown against ...
Audibles - Post Election Edition fantasysharks.com
Wed 11/7/12 11:00 AM
So, no one wants to hear the "I told you so" that goes along with Darren McFadden getting injured. You had to know that it was looming. That question was if he would make it through the year. The injury is a dreaded high ankle sprain, and while the X-rays were negative, you get a sense that he will stay on the shelf this week. The Oakland Raiders would prefer to have him healthier next week against New Orleans. The Saints have been gashed on the ground, and to have him sit this week makes sense from a precautionary standpoint. Mike Goodson is also hobbled, which points to Taiwan Jones. Is Jones ready to play? I personally think fullback Marcel Reece has more value. Regardless of who starts, take a look at Reece, especially in points-per-reception leagues. Don't get too excited about Chris Johnson's numbers the last three weeks. You should have the good sense to know that it's time to trade him. I just can't do it in my dynasty league as I'll never quite get what I want for him. Miami is on tap this week, and I'll continue to start him because I'm committed. Temper your expectation because Miami has been fairly tough to run against. He still possesses game-changing speed; there's no arguing that. The offense simply plays too many games from behind for them to put up enough for you to be excited about running backs on this roster. Danario Alexander was a good add for the San Diego Chargers since Robert Meachem hasn't lived up to billing, Eddie Royal has been injured mostly and Vincent Brown isn't quite ready to resume just yet. I don't believe that he has as much value as Malcom Floyd or Antonio Gates. The signs point to him being involved catching three balls in the first week without much practice. He may be worth a look in deeper leagues, but take a wait-and-see approach. Chris "Beanie" Wells may be available in your league. Do yourself a favor and check. The knee-jerk reaction was to drop him when he was injured. He will be back and insists that the knee and turf toe have healed sufficiently. Wells runs with authority and needs to get carries to get momentum. He should be ready Week 11 to return against St. Louis. The Week 13 game against the New York Jets has me salivating. If you have the room, make the move now. It's great to have options like this. I realize that in deep leagues that he sits on a bench some place. You can start looking for a possible trade if your league allows. Brandon Lloyd had a big week across the pond against ...
2012 Divisional Playoff Round fantasysharks.com
Sun 1/15/12 8:00 AM
Welcome to the Divisional Round edition of the Brew Crew Corner. During the postseason I go back over the season and analyze how it went. I like to look at the value that each position gave -- both positive or negative -- which I use to help prepare for next season. Players that finish with a big positive number can be great picks next season if their draft stock is still a good value, while players with a negative number might fall hard in drafts which will be another type of value pick. Beware as sometimes players that have a big season can sometimes be overvalued in drafts, making their draft position too high. Sometimes players who finished with a negative value will be players you would want to avoid next season. Each situation should be looked at on case by case. When looking at these values, you should question. Did the player suffer an injury, and how likely are they to return healthy? Did this player have a breakout season or did he benefit from an injury to other players? We will take a look at the running back value for the 2011. I determine the value by taking the Average Draft Position (ADP) from this year's draft and comparing it to the final rankings of a player based on fantasy points. For example, if a running back was going in drafts as the 10th running back and finished the season fifth overall among running backs, his value would be +5. Top 20 Running Backs with Good Value in 2011 RANK Player +/- 7 Darren Sproles, New Orleans +38 41 Toby Gerhart, Minnesota +37 34 Dexter McCluster, Kansas City +35 42 Kevin Smith, Detroit +34 47 Jackie Battle, Kansas City +32 11 Michael Bush, Oakland +29 52 Lance Ball, Denver +28 53 Chris Ogbonnaya, Cleveland +28 29 DeMarco Murray, Dallas +26 56 Kahlil Bell, Chicago +26 37 Donald Brown, Indianapolis +26 5 Marshawn Lynch, Seattle +24 59 Marcel Reece, Oakland +24 26 Roy Helu, Washington +23 51 Maurice Morris, Detroit +23 12 Reggie Bush, Miami +21 50 Isaac Redman, Pittsburgh +20 23 Willis McGahee, Denver +19 30 Ben Tate, Houston +18 20 Mike Tolbert, San Diego +15 Top 20 Running Backs with Poor Value in 2011 RANK Player +/- 98 Jamaal Charles, Kansas City -98 138 Jerome Harrison, Detroit -82 134 Bilal Powell, New York Jets -68 109 Ronnie Brown, Philadelphia -63 118 Shane Vereen, New England -60 80 Knowshon Moreno, Denver -59 83 Ryan Torain, Washington -39 114 Jamie Harper, Tenessee -39 ...
Lions LB Tulloch fined $15K for horse collar tackle brunoboys.net
Sat 12/24/11 12:35 PM
The NFL fined Detroit Lions linebacker Stephen Tulloch $15,000 for a horse collar tackle on Oakland Raiders fullback Marcel Reece.