6 Months Miami Dolphins 1 Comment

Ryan Tannehill completed 17-of-33 passes for 150 yards and a touchdown, and rushed three times for 25 yards as the Dolphins fell to the 49ers in Week 14.

Tannehill only accepted two sacks -- both by OLB Aldon Smith -- in Jake Long's first missed game. The rookie quarterback kept his team in the game until late in the fourth quarter, when Colin Kaepernick busted a back-breaking 50-yard rushing score. Tannehill also seems to trust his receivers too much; he keeps his eyes downfield and relies on them to make plays on 50:50 balls. Unfortunately, Miami's pass-catching corps is perhaps the least talented in football. Tannehill will only be a low-end two-quarterback league play in Week 15 against Jacksonville.

6 Months Miami Dolphins Comment

ESPN analyst Trent Dilfer believes Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill is going to be "an absolute rock star in this league, but it may take a little bit longer than some other places."

"Is he going to struggle, even next year? Absolutely, he's going to struggle a little bit," Dilfer said. "They're not an overly talented offense. Because of that, it's harder for the quarterback to be successful." Rotoworld's Chris Wesseling still ranks Tannehill higher than fellow rookies Russell Wilson or Brandon Weeden in Dynasty formats.

6 Months Miami Dolphins Comment

Ryan Tannehill completed 13-of-29 passes for 186 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions in the Dolphins' Week 13 loss to the Patriots.

Tannehill salvaged his fantasy day with an athletic two-yard touchdown run on a naked bootleg in the second quarter. However, he was woefully erratic with his arm, especially struggling early on with a wet ball. Tannehill has now thrown one touchdown pass or less all but one game this season. He's on pace for 3,412 yards, nine touchdowns and 16 interceptions heading into next week's brutal matchup at San Francisco.

This week's lines are from USAToday.com (as of Thursday night).

ATS - Against the Spread; SU - Straight Up; O/U - Over/Under

Locks

Denver at Kansas City (+10)

In last week's win over the San Diego Chargers, the Bronocs lost running back Willis McGahee for most of the season due to a torn MCL. There is an outside chance he may be able to return sometime in the playoffs. In the meantime, rookie Ronnie Hillman and Lance Ball should be able to step up and keep the run game going. Denver has won six of their last seven games and look to feast on the Chiefs who have only one win on the season. Kansas City is going to stick with quarterback Brady Quinn who has a 52.9 QB rating on the season with zero touchdowns and three interceptions.

Denver is 4-1 ATS in their last five games while the Chiefs are 1-4.

Gimme the Broncos minus the points.

Seattle at Miami (+3)

The Seahawks were on a bye last week and are on a two game winning streak with rookie quarterback Russell Wilson leading the way with five touchdowns and zero interceptions. Running back Marshawn Lynch has rushed for 124 yards and a touchdown in the last two games and looks to keep it going against a Dolphins defense which ranks 9th in the league against the run.

The Dolphins rank 27th in the league against the pass so Wilson shouldn't have a tough time finding Golden Tate downfield for a few big plays. Tate has three receiving touchdowns in his last two games. Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been awful in his last two games, throwing only one touchdown with five interceptions. Things won't get any easier against the Seahawks defense which ranks 2nd in the league in total points allowed (16.1 points per game) and 3rd in the league against the pass.

Gimme the Seahawks minus the points.

Games

Tennessee at Jacksonville (O/U 44.5)

Jaguars quarterback Chad Henne, who has taken over for Blaine Gabbert for the rest of the season, has played well when given a chance. Henne threw for 354 yards and four touchdowns in last week's overtime loss to the Houston Texans. This week he faces the Titans defense which ranks 31st in the league in points allowed (31.1 points per game). The Jaguars are not much better, ranking 29th in the league (28.9 points per game).

Gimme the Over.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay (O/U 50)

The Falcons are averaging 27 points per game, 6th in the NFL while the Buccaneers are averaging 28.7 points per game, good for 5th in the NFL.

The Tampa Bay offense...

Week 11 Fantasy Headlines:

Matt Schaub Racks Up 527 Passing Yards & 5 TD Passes AJ Compiles Career-High 14 Catches and 273 Receiving Yards Chad Henne & Justin Blackmon Both Compile Monster Outings Brady & Patriots Roll Over Colts; Gronkowski Injured "The Arm" Torches Philadelphia With 4 TD Passes Arian Foster's Scoring Streak Snapped Matt Ryan Tosses Five Picks and No TDs But Falcons Still Win Another 130-Plus Total-Yard Game From Trent Richardson A.J. Green Scores In His Ninth Straight Game

GAME SUMMARIES & FANTASY COMMENTARY:

Bye week: Minnesota Vikings (6-4), New York Giants (6-4), Seattle Seahawks (6-4) and Tennessee Titans (4-6).

THURSDAY NIGHT GAME:

Buffalo Bills 19 (4-6) | Miami Dolphins 14 (4-6)

Fantasy Focus -- Bills: Buffalo did not score an offensive touchdown. With Fred Jackson (concussion) inactive, electric C.J. Spiller (22-91-0 rushing and 3-39-0 receiving) carried the offense, amassing 130 total yards on a season-high 25 total touches. Unfortunately, the Bills frequently replaced Spiller in the red zone with the largely ineffective Tashard Choice (6-14-0 rushing and 1-0-0 receiving).

With the running game clicking and the much-maligned Buffalo defense playing well, the Bills elected to go conservative on offense. Ryan Fitzpatrick (17/27 for 168-0-0 passing and 3-15-0 rushing) has not tossed a touchdown pass in two of his last three games played, and it was the fifth time this season that Fitzpatrick passed for less than 200 yards in a game. Steve Johnson (6-79-0 on nine targets) topped Buffalo in receiving, and he has caught six balls in two straight contests. Fitzpatrick tried to get the ball to Donald Jones (2-11-0 on five targets) twice in the end zone, but they didn't hook up. The Bills triggerman also had a red-zone pass intended for Scott Chandler (2-30-0 on four targets) broken up.

The Buffalo defense allowed seven offense points and racked up three sacks, two interceptions and one recovered fumble. Leodis McKelvin scored on a 79-yard punt return in the first quarter.

Fantasy Tip: Although the Bills are trying to get the ball into the hands of Jones more frequently, I wouldn't trust him as anything more than a so-so WR4 right now. The Buffalo offense should reassert itself in Week 12 with a favorable road matchup against the Indianapolis Colts.

Fantasy Focus -- Dolphins: Remember all the predictions about Reggie Bush (10-20-0 rushing and 2-15-0 receiving) coming out and playing like a man on a mission after he...

6 Months Miami Dolphins 1 Comment

Ryan Tannehill completed just 14-of-28 passes for 141 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in Thursday night's Week 11 defeat at the hands of the Bills.

This week's lines are from USAToday.com (as of Wednesday night).

ATS - Against the Spread; SU - Straight Up; O/U - Over/Under

Miami at Buffalo (-1)

Miami quarterback Ryan Tannehill is coming off one the worst games of his short career, throwing three interceptions and zero touchdowns against the Tennessee Titans last week. He's facing a Bills defense which ranks last in points allowed at 31.7 points per game. Running back Reggie Bush was benched last week after losing a fumble early in the game. Look for him to rebound against the Bills rush defense which ranks last in the NFL.

Buffalo is also coming off a loss. They lost to the New England Patriots 37-31. They had a chance at the end but quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick was intercepted deep in New England territory. Running back Fred Jackson suffered a concussion and has already been ruled out for this game. C.J. Spiller will finally get a majority of the carries and show that he should be the man in Buffalo.

I don't see any value in the side or total but lean towards the better offense and the home team. For you action junkies out there, go with the Bills and keep your fingers crossed.

Gimme the Bills minus the points.

Please make sure to check back Friday for my four-star picks and my take on the rest of the NFL schedule.

SEASON RECAP (W-L-T)

: 15-13-1

: 19-14

: 14-10-1

: 11-13-1

Total Record: 59-50-3

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