Flex Suspects: Week 8 rotoviz.com Thu 10/24/13 2:39 PM1 Comment

Last Week's Suspects: Rueben Randle: 3 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD, 1 FUM -- 63rd RB/WR Bilal Powell: 6 YDS Jerome Simpson: 3 REC, 32 YDS Season to date: 7/18, 39%...

Feast or Famine - Week 7 fantasysharks.com Fri 10/18/13 7:30 AM

Every week I will pick and choose certain players that will produce above (feast) or below (famine) our Fantasy Sharks Player Projections. A couple guys every week may be obvious, but some might surprise you. Feast Danny Woodhead, RB, San Diego Fantasy Sharks Projection: 8 Points Woodhead showed that he can be a viable fantasy option even when Ryan Mathews does well. Look for even bigger things this week against Jacksonville, especially in the passing game. Alshon Jeffery, WR, Chicago Fantasy Sharks Projection: 4 Points Jay Cutler missed Jeffrey on multiple throws last week against the New York Giants. Start him with confidence against Washington, one of the worst defenses in the league. Jeffrey will be fine as long as Cutler is on. Jerome Simpson, WR, Minnesota Fantasy Sharks Projection: 3 Points Although it may not be by much, Josh Freeman is an upgrade over Matt Cassel and Christian Ponder. Simpson has been involved each week while averaging almost eight targets per game. Coby Fleener, TE, Indianapolis Fantasy Sharks Projection: 4 Points Fleener is his own worst enemy. The recent case of stone hands he developed has been annoying, but he has the best opportunity of the season this week against Denver. Tight ends with competent quarterbacks have shredded the Denver defense for years. Famine Joe Flacco, QB, Baltimore Fantasy Sharks Projection: 24 Points Flacco is a below-average quarterback and usually struggles against Pittsburgh. I expect this game to be an old-fashioned slugfest between these teams with Flacco putting up a line around 215 yards with a touchdown and an interception -- his average game against Pittsburgh. Eddie Lacy, RB, Green Bay Fantasy Sharks Projection: 18 Points Randall Cobb's injury will boost Lacy's fantasy value in the long term, but don't expect much change this week. Cleveland has the seventh-best rush defense in the league. Kyle Rudolph, TE, Minnesota Fantasy Sharks Projection: 13 Points Rudolph put up his first solid game of the season because Adrian Peterson had only 10 rushing attempts. Minnesota will have a much more balanced game this week and Rudolph will regress back into the fantasy wasteland.

Waiver Wire Wonders - Week 5 fantasysharks.com Tue 10/1/13 6:00 AM3 Comments

The full fallout from the Trent Richardson trade has not been felt yet, neither on the Cleveland Browns or the Indianapolis Colts. Without Ahmad Bradshaw, Richardson only ran for 60 yards on 20 carries. Yes, he found the end zone, but will this become another time-sharing situation when Bradshaw returns? Willis McGahee looked OK against the Cincinnati Bengals, but his absence in the passing game is going to keep his value down. Chris Ogbonnaya is the clear passing option; as long as both are healthy neither is going to have that much fantasy value. Looking to the waivers, players like Justin Blackmon (back from suspension), Coby Fleener, Alshon Jeffery and the Kansas City defense/special teams are definitely worth a look but in the majority of leagues they are already owned. Make sure they are rostered, as they would be above all the players listed here. We are bringing back our top category for a couple of players this week, but otherwise the landscape for waiver wire additions is largely speculative. A handful of wide receivers and running backs that are both solid and on the radar, plus a quarterback in the mix but nothing to get overly excited about. With injuries starting to mount around the league, there is something for everyone to take a look at and put at the bottom of their roster. On to the weekly wonders! Smokin' Hot WR Robert Woods, Buffalo We open this week with a guy that never seems to leave the field of play. With Stevie Johnson nursing a sore hamstring, the rookie has stepped in and performed admirably. An official's reversal kept him from a two-touchdown day, but in the end he finished with four receptions for 80 yards and a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens. The Bills have little behind Johnson and Woods, so those two will be on the field as long as they are healthy and able. Woods should be owned in all formats, and we'd go so far to project him as a WR3 or WR4 and worth a spot start to cover a bye week. RB Rashad Jennings, Oakland The Raiders are being mum on the status of Darren McFadden, with early reports speculating that the starter will miss this week's tilt against San Diego. Jennings lit up the Washington Redskins for eight catches and 71 yards in the air and 15 carries for 45 yards on the ground. As McFadden's backup, he will carry the load in his absence as there is no one else in Oakland capable of carrying the rock. He's worth adding in all formats as we await the announced length of McFadden's ...

The Weekly Barometer - Week 3 fantasysharks.com Tue 9/17/13 9:06 AM

Are running backs falling into a state of complete and total irrelevance? It's been discussed for years how much of a passing league the NFL has become, but through two weeks the air attack has taken on whole new levels of ludicrousness. Last season there were 184 total 100-yard individual receiving performances across the whole league. So far this year there have been 38, putting us on pace for 304. As for running backs, last year there were 116 100-yard rushing performances. The nine so far this year puts us on pace for a paltry 72. To be fair, we're looking at a relatively small sample size of only one eighth of a season. Regression will inevitably occur, and if every statistic from the first two weeks was to be extrapolated to a full 16, Eli Manning would finish this season with 56 interceptions, Peyton Manning would have 72 touchdowns, and Eddie Royal would smash the receiving TD record with 40. Obviously none of those things are going to happen. Still, even accounting for future regression to the mean, the difference between last year and this year so far is absolutely staggering. I'm not saying that the running back position is on the brink of being as inconsequential as kickers, but I will say this: Remember that guy you made fun of for not drafting a running back until round five? He's 2-0 because he used his first four picks on Aaron Rodgers , Brandon Marshall , Jimmy Graham , and Victor Cruz , and he's looking really smart right now. But let's get to this week's barometer. First, let's take a look at how I did with the outlier performances from last week and what you should do with those guys going forward. Calls that made me look like a genius: I recommended benching Colin Kaepernick (5 points), but his next six matchups are all considerably more enticing. Start him with confidence. I regarded Eric Decker (8-97-0) as a solid flex play and he will continue to be one in the weeks to come. I strongly advocated starting Mike Wallace (9-115-1) and advised you to continue to do so for the next two weeks against Atlanta and New Orleans. I told you to bench Anquan Boldin (1-7-0) against the best secondary in the league, but I like him as a flex play going forward. Jerome Simpson (2-49-0) validated my claim that his week one breakout was nothing to get excited about. Finally, I labeled Jordan Cameron (9-95-0) and Julius Thomas (6-47-1) as confident starts. These kids are legit. Keep them active. Calls that made me look like an idiot: I said to ...

Risers and Fallers - Week 2 fantasysharks.com Sat 9/14/13 3:06 PM

St. Louis Rams and Atlanta Falcons Jared Cook - If the Rams' tight end can string together a set of highly productive games he'll quickly become one of the best options at the position. Atlanta is very capable of running up the score, especially with Steven Jackson playing with a little extra something to prove. This could force St. Louis to throw to stay in the game. Cook could finally live up to the hype that's surrounded him for the last couple of seasons and would benefit greatly by finding consistency. Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens Jordan Cameron - Much like the Rams' Cook, Cameron could become a top-five option at the position if he can put together back to back good outings. Brandon Weeden is looking for someone to trust and Greg Little certainly doesn't fit that mold. If the Ravens trip up Trent Richardson and Weeden needs to air it out, Cameron would be in for another big fantasy day. If not, he could fall back down into the rest of the pack of hit and miss tight ends. Carolina Panthers and Buffalo Bills E.J. Manuel - The Bills' rookie quarterback didn't look half bad last week. Granted, the Patriots defense isn't exactly top of the class, but they do offer exotic looks and can get pressure on the quarterback. The effectiveness of Manuel was even more evident as fellow rookie Geno Smith got smashed by that same Patriots defense four days later. If Manuel can finish the week with 200 yards and two touchdowns against the Panthers he'll find himself climbing toward the head of the QB2 rankings. Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears Greg Jennings - There was a big fantasy day for a Minnesota wide receiver last week, but unfortunately it wasn't Jennings. Jerome Simpson went off, helping no one in fantasy. Christian Ponder looked a little better than expected as he was able to compile more stats than his talent would leave you to believe, so not all is lost for Jennings, just yet. If Ponder can just be an average NFL quarterback, which will be tough for him, there is still a chance for production. This week against the mighty Bears defense likely leads to two bad games in a row, leaving Jennings' value at an all-time low if he doesn't show something. Washington Redskins and Green Bay Packers Leonard Hankerson - We've been looking for someone not named Pierre Garcon to step up and become a viable fantasy option out of the Redskins receiving corps. We could finally have that answer as Hankerson is coming off a multi-touchdown game in ...

Pondering The MN Vikings fantasyfootballwarehou... Wed 7/24/13 12:00 PM

DFW and FFW co-owner and rabid Vikings Fan, Dan Heins, gives us his breakdown of the MN Vikings. From AP2K to the new look receiving corps, to Jerome Simpson's alarming forehead to skull ratio.

FANTASY BLASPHEMY! Charles over AP fantasysharks.com Wed 7/17/13 9:06 AM

I was in a mock PPR league draft recently, when the guy with the No. 1 overall pick selected Adrian Peterson, then chatted, "no question who to take with No. 1." Well now, personally, I have a big problem with people confusing opinion -- even if it's majority opinion -- with fact. So, just to be snarky, I responded, "in your opinion, maybe. I woulda taken Jamaal Charles." The chat box was suddenly flooded with derision from the other mockers as if I had uttered some blasphemous indictment against the ghost of Walter Payton. I quickly realized that using the chat box in the midst of a mock draft was not an adequate venue for backing up my opinion that Charles should indeed be selected first overall in PPR formats this season, so I felt compelled to write this article. First, let me say, that this opinion is solely tied to PPR leagues, with the first overall pick in non-PPR formats I'd go with Peterson, all day. Secondly, let me say that I am in no way disparaging the selection of Peterson as my fantasy RB1 even in PPR leagues -- only that I would select him after Charles. And here is why. To start, let's talk about the law of averages. Peterson had an amazing season in 2012. Let me say that again; Peterson had an amazing season. He rushed 348 (!) times for 2,097 yards, a dozen touchdowns and a whopping 6.0 yards per carry. Add to that, 40 catches for another 217 yards and a touchdown. Could he duplicate, or even surpass those numbers this season? Absolutely. He has the talent to do so. But ... the law of averages says that he probably will not. If you look at the list of the top-50 season rushing leaders, only a handful of backs appear on the list multiple times. If you narrow that list to the top-20, there are only three running backs that appear more than once: Barry Sanders, O.J. Simpson, and Eric Dickerson -- who actually had three seasons in that top-20. Peterson and Charles are both in the top-20 as well (and AP also appears at #23). Narrowing this argument to the top-20 is important, though, because the dropoff from 20 to 21 is where the yardage drops from 1,800-plus yards to the sub-1,800 numbers. Dickerson, of course, holds the record at 2,105, which Peterson came just short of breaking last year. More importantly, however, is the fact that Dickerson's second best year is a full 284 yards less than his record breaking campaign. Peterson's second best is 337 yards shy of his 2013 season. Those are comparable numbers. A 2,000-yard season has ...

Monday Morning Takeaways -- Week 8 fantasysharks.com Mon 10/29/12 1:45 PM

Before we get to all the game time action, of which there was plenty, we must address one of my favorite holidays, Halloween. This Wednesday night young kids will flood the streets delirious by the thought of gathering a sack load of candy; the equivalent of children's gold. As we head out to celebrate with friends and family, remember that many of these young people aren't always paying attention to the traffic around them. Please do your part to keep our children safe by slowing down and looking out for all those little ghouls and goblins. If nothing else, take the time to admire all the great costumes and enjoy a safe holiday. Tampa Bay 36, Minnesota 17 Bucs Right before our eyes Tampa Bay is developing into a very balanced offense. Doug Martin kicked off week eight rushing for 135 yards and one touchdown while catching three passes for 79 yards adding a second touchdown through the air. On countless runs Martin did an excellent job making the first man miss while pilling up yards after contact. It appears TB got the memo as LeGarrette Blount is officially in the rear view mirror, even on the goal line. Over the years there has been a recurring trend of quarterbacks breaking out in the middle of their fourth season (last year is was Matt Ryan finishing fifth in fantasy scoring in weeks 8-16). Josh Freeman looks to be the 2012 candidate after scoring 28, 22 and 25 points over the past three weeks. Two weeks ago, almost by default, I picked up Freeman as a bye week filler, but he seems to have earned a spot on my roster as a blossoming low end QB1. Most encouraging is seeing the Bucs continue to throw the football despite a commanding lead. Pleasant surprise. Tampa Bay has officially entered the conversation for most prolific tandem of wide receivers in the NFL. This week it was Mike Williams catching six passes for 68 yards and a touchdown. Williams does an excellent job "h igh pointing" the football making him a preferred target in the red zone. After a sophomore slump, Williams is once again blossoming into a solid fantasy player now impossible to sit. Great draft pick for those of you who had the foresight. The Bucs offensive line deserves a ton of credit adding confidence to owners of Martin and Freeman. Vikings What the hell is going on in Minnesota? They started the game perfectly working the ball to Percy Harvin (90 yards one touchdown) and continuing to run Adrian Peterson (123 yards and one touchdown). Falling behind in the mid ...

Against the Odds - Week 8 (Thursday Edition) fantasysharks.com Thu 10/25/12 6:45 AM

This week's lines are from usatoday.com (as of Wednesday night). Key ATS - Against the Spread SU - Straight Up O/U - Over/Under Tampa Bay at Minnesota (-6.5) Tampa Bay is coming off a 35-28 loss to the New Orleans Saints last week. The offense finally showed some life, but who doesn't against the Saints defense nowadays? Teams have been able to throw all over the Buccaneers defense, which ranks 31st in the league against the pass, giving up 323 yards a game. The run defense has played well, holding teams to 76 rushing yards a game (third in the NFL). Vikings running back Adrian Peterson may not have a big game but he will get his touches. After the Vikings establish the run, look for quarterback Christian Ponder to run some play action and connect on a few big plays down field. Wide receiver Jerome Simpson will be the main deep target who has drawn a few big pass interference plays in the limited time he has played this season. I really don't see an edge in this game. The Vegas odds makers think the Vikings are for real this season and it reflects it in the spread. I'm not a believer and need to see more from the Vikings before buying in. If you feel that you need to have something on the game, make sure to buy the half-point so that you don't get burned if the Vikings win by a touchdown. Tampa Bay is 5-0 against the spread in their last five games with Minnesota. Gimme the Buccaneers plus the points. Please make sure to check back Friday for my four-star picks and my take on the rest of the NFL schedule. SEASON RECAP (W-L-T) : 9-8-1 : 13-10 : 7-6-1 : 5-9 Total Record: 34-33-2

The DLF Mailbag dynastyleaguefootball.com Thu 10/18/12 12:13 PM

We cover the values of Jerome Simpson, Matt Ryan, Percy Harvin, Brian Quick and more.