Player Prop Bets - Week 11 fantasysharks.com Nov 17 '12
Each week I dig through player props and attempt to pick out the most attractive opportunities. After all, betting is all about finding bad odds and exploiting them! The Sand$ represents how much I am wagering and ultimately how confident I am in each bet. The money line is displayed at the end of each bet. Like a point spread, the money line is used to even out the attractiveness of both sides. For example, a negative line of -115 would require a bet of 115 Sand$ in order to win 100 Sand$. A positive line of +130 would return 130 Sand$ when a bet of 100 Sand$ is placed.
Occasionally, I will put out a parlay bet as well. A parlay is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those wagers winning together. The benefit of the parlay bet is much better odds than placing each individual bet separately since the difficulty of hitting it is much higher.
Season prop bets: 20,000 Sand$
Week 11 prop bets: 2,000 Sand$
Last week gain/loss: +418 Sand$
Season gain/loss: +4,237 Sand$
Week 10 Results
100 Sand$ - Cam Newton (Carolina) Total Passing Yards OVER 230.5 (-115) (+87)
400 Sand$ - Greg Olsen (Carolina) Total Receiving Yards OVER 46.5 (-115) (+348)
100 Sand$ - Hakeem Nicks (New York Giants) Total Receptions UNDER 4.5 (-115) (-100)
600 Sand$ - Chris Johnson (Tennessee) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 94.5 (-115 ) (-600)
200 Sand$ - Brian Hartline (Miami) Total Receptions OVER 4.5 (EVEN) AND Brian Hartline (Miami) Total Receiving Yards OVER 58.5 (-115) (+548)
300 Sand$ - Shonn Greene (New York Jets) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 62.5 (-115) (+261)
300 Sand$ - Steven Jackson (St. Louis) Total Rushing Yards UNDER 58.5 (-115) (-300)
200 Sand$ - Alex Smith (San Francisco) Total Completions UNDER 18.5 (-115) (+174)
Week 11 Player Prop Bets
200 Sand$ - Matt Ryan (Atlanta) Total Touchdown Passes UNDER 2.5 (-115)
Arizona has the second best pass defense through 10 weeks. With Julio Jones banged up and Patrick Peterson covering Roddy White, Ryan will have a fine game but throw for less than three touchdowns.
100 Sand$ - Vincent Jackson (Tampa Bay) Total Receptions OVER 4.5 (-160) AND Mike Williams (Tampa Bay) Total Receptions OVER 3.5 (-130)
Gut parlay of the week!
400 Sand$ - Mark Sanchez (New York Jets) Total Completions UNDER 19.5 (-115) The same under bet for the same Sanchez. Maybe he'll get benched mid game or just quit all together.
400 Sand$ - Danny Amendola (St. Louis) Total Receiving Yards OVER 65.5 (-115) The clear cut No. 1 receiver for the Rams is back. Amendola is averaging 12 targets per game and will not have a problem eclipsing 66 yards against the Jets.
500 Sand$ - Denarius Moore (Oakland) Total Receptions OVER 4.5 (+105)
Moore is averaging seven targets and four receptions per game. The odds on this bet and the matchup against a terrible New Orleans defense makes this a fantastic play.
200 Sand$ - Matthew Stafford (Detroit) Total Touchdown Passes OVER 2 (+105) The Green Bay/Detroit game should prove to be a high-scoring affair. Stafford seems to have found a grove that should pay dividends this weekend.
200 Sand$ - Houston will score 4.5 MORE points than Carolina (-105)
Season Prop Bets:
5,000 Sand$ - New York Jets to win under 8.5 games (-180)
5,000 Sand$ - Jimmy Graham to record +35 receiving yards over Rob Gronkowski (-135)
Graham: 533 receiving yards
Gronkowski: 611 receiving yards
5,000 Sand$ - Greg Olsen over 550.5 receiving yards (-115)
Olsen: 497 receiving yards
5,000 Sand$ - BenJarvus Green-Ellis over 850.5 rushing yards (-115)
Green-Ellis: 537 rushing yards