Against the Odds - Week 5 (Thursday Edition) fantasysharks.com Oct 04 '12
This week's lines are from usatoday.com (as of Wednesday night).
Arizona at St. Louis (O/U 39.5)
The Arizona Cardinals remain undefeated (4-0) after a comeback overtime win against the Miami Dolphins last week. Kevin Kolb led the team to a touchdown to tie the game with 22 seconds left, forcing overtime, where Cardinals kicker Jay Feely clinched the victory with a 46-yard field goal. The victory gave the Cardinals an eight-game home winning streak.
The St. Louis Rams were able to squeak out a win of their own against the Seattle Seahawks last week, winning 19-13. Rookie kicker Greg Zuerlein was the offensive player of the game. He made four field goals, including ones from 58 yards and 60 yards.
The Cardinals defense is third in the NFL in points allowed, holding opponents to an average of 15.2 points per game. However, the offense has a lot to be desired. They rank 31st in total yards (271.8 yards per game) and are scoring an average of 22.8 points per game.
The run game looks to get back on track against the Rams defense, which is giving up 135.2 yards per game, ranking 26th in the NFL. Expect to see Cardinals running back Ryan Williams have a nice game and rush for his first career 100-yard game.
The Rams offense ranks 20th in the league, scoring 19.8 points per game. They rank near the bottom in both passing and rushing. Sam Bradford has been average at best, throwing four touchdowns and four interceptions with a 80.1 quarterback rating. The Rams defense is a work in progress under new head coach Jeff Fisher, but it has shown an improvement this season by playing harder and being more physical.
I see this game going either way as both teams seem to be evenly matched. However, I do not see this being a high-scoring affair. Both teams will rely on their defense to keep them in the game, while their offenses hope to stay mistake free and play a field position game.
The under is 7-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these two teams.
Gimme the under.
Please make sure to check back Friday for my 4-star locks and my take on the rest of the NFL schedule.
SEASON RECAP (W-L-T)
Total Record: 12-15-1